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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections FL-13 special election liveblog thread #1 (392 comments)

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  •  Exactly (5+ / 0-)

    Libertarians who thump their chests about being "the only true Constitutional Conservative!" and "taxation is slavery!" and crazy right-wing crap like that are going to cut into the GOP's margins. Libertarians who make a point of highlighting socially liberal positions are going to appeal to Democrats and left-leaning independents who mostly vote Democratic or are anti-Republican over social and cultural issues, but aren't necessarily sold on the Democratic-establishment platform vis a vis welfare, labor, taxes, spending, surveillance, etc.

    Pragmatic progressive. Oregonian, Cascadian, and American. Keeper of the DKE glossary.

    by SaoMagnifico on Tue Mar 11, 2014 at 05:22:18 PM PDT

    [ Parent ]

    •  My math has been for awhile: (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Berliozian

      Libertarians would otherwise break 60-40 GOP
      Constitution candidates would go 90-10 GOP
      Greens would go 90-10 Dem

      Of course, you can't directly allocate their votes.  The kinds of people dumb enough to vote third party even in close elections would probably vote for a different third party, write in a name, or just sit out the election in protest anyway.  Though it's weird to imagine, a lot of third party voters don't actually care which party they are voting for, they just want to make a statement.  I've always assumed that if took away a third party candidate, only about half of their voters would end up voting Dem or GOP instead.

      I doubt the Libertarian in tonight's race cost Jolly more than a percent.

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