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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections moves Arkansas and Kentucky Senate races to 'Lean Republican' (49 comments)

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  •  HI-Gov (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Taget, stevenaxelrod

    Duke Aiona seems pretty official for governor.  This is his new website after his previous one (a fairly generic "keep up with Duke" series of blog posts) was taken down, and it was a "coming soon" splash page for a week or so in between.

    Anyway, Race to Watch seems a fair designation.  I'm not ready to believe Likely D yet (Abercrombie could very well win by 20 points again or even more), but it warrants keeping an eye on for signs of potential competitiveness.

    I understand the other changes, and my ratings were already pretty much there (though I'd call AR-Sen "tilt R" if we allowed such a rating...)

    •  Boy, that's kind of frustrating actually (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Odysseus, Skaje

      Aiona managed to launch his campaign without netting a single newspaper article. I think we're going to revise to "Likely D," in that case, since I think that rating is more appropriate. (We really try to limit RTW to just major primaries OR major potential game-changing candidacies, not just random, "This race could heat up" contests.)

      As for "tilt" ratings, we will deploy them, but only much closer to Election Day, as we (temporarily) did with FL-13.

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      by David Nir on Fri Mar 14, 2014 at 03:43:41 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  It might be necessary to triage 4-6 eventually (0+ / 0-)

      But we aren't anywhere near that point yet. Simply cannot afford to lose anything beyond the red 7 when the 2016 map is so favorable.

      "What do you mean "conspiracy"? Does that mean it's someone's imaginings and that the actual polls hovered right around the result?" - petral

      by conspiracy on Fri Mar 14, 2014 at 03:44:11 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Reply to Henster below (0+ / 0-)

        "What do you mean "conspiracy"? Does that mean it's someone's imaginings and that the actual polls hovered right around the result?" - petral

        by conspiracy on Fri Mar 14, 2014 at 03:44:45 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

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