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View Diary: Senate Elections 2016: A (Very) Preliminary Analysis (84 comments)

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  •  This Seems Right To Me (1+ / 0-)
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    But Nate Silver has got us losing a lot of seats we seem to be polling well in.  

    I think he's basing too  much on Obama approval.  As Chuck Todd pointed out this morning, Americans have moved on.  I think HRC's polling in a state has a lot more to say about how people feel about Democrats.

    No one can terrorize a whole nation, unless we are all his accomplices. - Edward R. Murrow

    by CrazyHorse on Wed Jun 18, 2014 at 07:49:29 AM PDT

    •  I like Nate but he has been wrong before. (1+ / 0-)
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      Didn't Nate post Democrats would lose the Senate in 2012 ?  We didn't ! He says it will be harder this time, it won't be. I was wrong in 2010 because I underestimated the turn out of the stupid's and overestimated the turn out of the Left. I think the left has learned it's lesson on sitting home and not being involved. I DON'T think 2014 will be anything like 2010.

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