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View Diary: McConnell wants to diskynect 370,000 Kentuckians from their health care (32 comments)

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  •  FFS it's 7 months out. (0+ / 0-)

    If Allison is in the mid 40's I think she's doing fine.
    Get a grip.

    •  That's fine. (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Tuffie

      But the point is that the undecideds will shift to McConnell as the campaign heats up. This is a deep red state, and it will be incredibly difficult for a Democrat to win when a Democratic president is massively unpopular.

      Jack Conway (D) won 44% in 2010.

      Lunsford (D) won 47% in 2008.

      Mongiardo (D) got 49% in 2004.

      •  This surely seems pessimistic (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        wu ming, post rational

        Let it also be noted
        Alison Grimes won election in 2011 STATEWIDE in her run for Secretary of State with just under 61% of the vote. She had a "D" after her name on the ballot. SOURCE
        This was also with a "massively unpopular Democratic president" who happens to be black and have a funny middle name and who had NOT delivered 1 single enrolled Kentuckian into health insurance.

        In that same 2011 election let it be noted Steve Beshear won election in 2011 STATEWIDE in his run for governor with over 55% of the vote. He had a "D" after his name on the ballot. Source
        This was also with a "massively unpopular Democratic president" who happens to be black and have a funny middle name and who had NOT delivered 1 single enrolled Kentuckian into health insurance.

        I'm not saying it will be easy for a Democrat to win state wide in the Bluegrass State, but recent history shows it can be done, even with "that kind of person/Democrat" in the White House.

        If Addison (calling him by his given name when he was born in AL, and raised in GA, before he carpetbagged into KY) the McConnell is counting on a surge from undecided voters breaking his way as the campaign heats up, I believe the diarist gives grounds for this surge to be weak at best, or even a wash.

        FWIW.

        Shalom.

        "God has given wine to gladden the hearts of people." Psalm 104:15

        by WineRev on Wed Apr 02, 2014 at 08:30:35 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  They were not running for federal office. (0+ / 0-)

          Mitt Romney was elected governor of MA in 2002 with 52% of the vote. In 2012, he won 40% in the state.

          William Weld was similarly elected with 71% of the vote in 1994. Two years later, he won 45% in a Senate standoff against John Kerry.

          Federal and state offices have different dynamics.

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