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View Diary: Going for the Jugular!--We could Learn from Taiwan's Sunflower Movement (21 comments)

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  •  I've got to head off to work. Will address (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    BMScott, blueoasis, nailbender

    any comments later.

    •  Here's the big question, in my mind: (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      waterstreet2013, EricMaderLin

      Is there a chance that the students' occupation of the legislature will be used as a pretext, along with a compliant appeal from Ma for help from the mainland, for an actual military invasion couched in terms of a rescue operation by the "Communists?"

      If the occupation is due to be dismantled voluntarily within the week, then such a move would have to happen very soon. Has Ma been making those kinds of noises? It seems to me that, if your analysis is correct that this movement has awoken the general population of Taiwan out of their somnambulance, then the mainland rulers probably perceive that for what it is: a real threat to the significant progress they've made in absorbing the island's government by absorbing Taiwan's economy into theirs. And that kind of threat has to be confronted, no?

      Is it possible that this will result in the worst case scenario?

      "Well, yeah, the Constitution is worth it if you succeed." - Nancy Pelosi, 6/30/07 // "Succeed?" At what?

      by nailbender on Wed Apr 09, 2014 at 03:24:49 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  This is of course the kind of (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:

        "what if" that will occur to many people in this kind of situation. My own best assessment is that an actual military invasion from the Mainland would be unlikely UNLESS the conflict in Taiwan were to develop into serious street clashes: burning buildings, torched cars, casualties, etc. In that case, Beijing could simply claim they needed to come in to restore order. I think besides most Taiwanese are aware of this as a risk, and such awareness may, in some cases, have functioned as a damper on more aggressive action.

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