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View Diary: Stephen Wolf's US Senate Race Ratings 04/2014 with Interactive Map (73 comments)

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  •  Despite the potential Democratic losses (6+ / 0-)

    we've got strong candidates in red territory like Georgia and Kentucky. I'm optimistic because of that - I like Democrats' chances of holding  Senate, even if it's narrow.

    Election Day is Nov 4th, 2014 It's time for the Undo button on the 2010 Election.

    by bear83 on Mon Apr 14, 2014 at 11:01:00 AM PDT

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    •  I was Hoping Ga looked better (4+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      TofG, HeyMikey, MichaelNY, MadGeorgiaDem

      the media has been relentless in convincing the elderly that Obama/care is taking away their medicare , or that it is just destroying America

      God speed to Mrs Nunn

      And it is really going to suck if they unseat Mark Begich and Mary Landrieu  , the voters there will have really screwed themselves if they let that happen

      Beer Drinkers & Hell Raisers

      by Patango on Mon Apr 14, 2014 at 11:09:28 AM PDT

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      •  Report from GA. (5+ / 0-)

        Dems: there are other candidates besides Michelle Nunn (daughter of Sam), but the conventional wisdom is that Nunn has the nomination sewn up. I agree with the CW.

        GOP:

        David Perdue (cousin of ex-gov Sonny Perdue) has just started running TV commercials in which he comes across as non-crazy. If he keeps that up--and he likely will, he's stinkin' rich--he could win the GOP nomination, and would likely be hardest for Nunn to beat in the fall.

        Karen Handel: until recently, I thought Handel was the GOPer who best hid her/his crazy, and the greatest November threat to Nunn. But Handel was just endorsed by Sarah Palin, so Handel appears determined to go after the crazy GOP base. If she gets the nomination, however, there will be plenty of time for her to tack back to the center before November.

        Dr. Paul "evolution is a lie from the pit of hell" Broun: naturally the most rabid of them all. My unscientific yard-sign survey here in Cobb County (ATL 'burbs) says he's the early leader.

        Phil Gingrey, Jack Kingston: have just started running TV commericals in which they strive to appear as crazy as Broun. Should either get the nomination, he could plausibly tack back to the center before November.

        Nunn's best shot is for the GOP to commit hari-kari by nominating Broun. But it could backfire, and GA could end up electing this nutcase to the Senate.

        Wild card: GOP gov. Nathan Deal's ethical skeletons appear to be banging hard at the closet door. If they come tumbling out before November (but after Deal secures the GOP nomination), that could be good for Dem turnout and bad for GOP turnout. Could possibly result in electing Nunn to Senate and Dem Jason Carter (Jimmy's grandson) as gov. Probably Carter's only hope.

        Yes, it's a damn shame we rely so much on family connections, in both parties.

        "The true strength of our nation comes not from the might of our arms or the scale of our wealth, but from the enduring power of our ideals." - Barack Obama

        by HeyMikey on Mon Apr 14, 2014 at 06:51:55 PM PDT

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        •  Is non-crazy a good tack to take (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          HeyMikey

          in a Republican primary in Georgia? But seriously, I really hope that right before the primary, Nunn or a Democratic PAC blankets the airwaves in Georgia with a "too conservative for Georgia" ad for Broun. That's how McCaskill was able to win reelection in Missouri last cycle.

          Formerly Pan on Swing State Project

          by MichaelNY on Tue Apr 15, 2014 at 12:41:12 AM PDT

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        •  I think Perdue is the sleeper on the GOP side. (3+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          BKGyptian89, HeyMikey, redwagon

          Over here in east GA his signs are prolific. I live in Broun's district and I've seen exactly one yard sign for him. Perdue signs are everywhere.

          Both the gov and senate races are definitely winnable for the Democrats, but I really think the stars are going to have to line up just right. I give Nunn slightly better odds of winning her race than I give Carter in his. Fingers crossed we'll get both.

          Guns are never the principal in the commission of a crime, but they are usually an accomplice

          by MadGeorgiaDem on Tue Apr 15, 2014 at 08:26:59 AM PDT

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