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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest: After indictment, Mike Grimm says he'll seek re-election (37 comments)

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  •  PA-13: would not be surprised if Brendan Boyle (1+ / 0-)
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    Cadillac64

    wins the 4-person Dem primary.  

    I said this months ago on here and the article in the Phila Inquirer cited above has some local politicos supporting the idea also.

    The 4 candidates will appear on the ballot with the name of each candidate's home county below each name.  I am not sure in what order the candidates will appear but for sake of example I will list them in alphabetical order:

    Valerie Arkoosh
           Montgomery County

    Brendan Boyle
           Philadelphia County

    Daylin Leach
           Montgomery County

    Marjorie Margolies
           Montgomery County

    Half of the PA-13 voters are in Philadelphia county and half are in Montgomery County.

    Geography could give Brendan Boyle a significant boost and low information voters in Philadelphia may vote for him on that basis alone.

    He has an Irish name, a name that could appeal to the large number of Catholics in the  District.  He and his brother are both incumbent state representatives in the PA-13 District.  He has several local labor unions supporting him.  The Philadelphia politicians are almost uniformly supporting Boyle - they want one of their own in Congress when they need help for the city from Congress.  He's the son of a transit agency maintenance custodian father and a school crossing guard mother - a real up-from-the-bootstraps story.  He is the only non-millionaire of the 4 and his opponents have declined to disclose their tax returns.  The Philadelphia ward leaders will have people outside every voting precinct in the Philadelphia half of the District handing out sample ballots and they will be pigeon-holing every person who walks up to vote to vote for the local guy, the guy like them, the Philadelphia guy.

    He's not the candidate to whom I have contributed money and for whom I will be voting, but if I had to bet on who is likely to win the primary, I'd be hard-pressed not to choose Brendan Boyle.

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