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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 5/15 (274 comments)

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  •  Governor's races (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    MichaelNY, SaoMagnifico

    Dem Pickups:
    PA - Wolf over Corbett by 12 (there are no signs whatsoever of a Corbett rebound.  He's DOA)
    ME - Michaud over LePage by 5
    FL - Crist over Scott by 4
    KS - Davis over Brownback by 2 (Upset of the year.  Kansas may be ruby red, but Brownback is in series trouble)

    GOP pickups:
    AR - Hutchinson over Ross by 6

    Dem Holds:
    IL - Quinn over Rauner by 2 (Ya, I think IL holds their nose and votes Quinn back in for another term.  And hopefully he sticks to his promise to never run again)
    CT - Malloy over Foley by 6
    CO - Hickenlooper over Tancredo by 10 (Hickenlooper flat-out lucked out with an unelectable GOP nominee in Tancredo)
    HI - Abercrombie over Aiona by 12

    GOP Holds:
    AZ - GOP Nominee over DuVal by 3 (literally the hardest race to sort out.  The candidates are mostly not well known with nobody cracking the 30's in early polls)
    WI - Walker over Burke by 5
    MI - Snyder over Schauer by 5
    IA - Branstad over Hatch by 6
    OH - Kasich over FitzGerald by 7
    GA - Deal over Carter by 8
    NM - Martinez over King by 8
    SC - Haley over Shaheen by 10

    •  I'm very doubtful on Quinn (0+ / 0-)

      Otherwise, while some of your margins look big at first, I don't see anything that looks obviously wrong.

      Formerly Pan on Swing State Project

      by MichaelNY on Thu May 15, 2014 at 09:57:15 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  IL is a Tossup, no doubt (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        MichaelNY

        And I'm well aware how despised Quinn is by, well... everybody in Illinois.  My gut feeling just says enough IL voters will hold their noses to let Quinn squeak by with another razor thin victory.

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