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View Diary: Immigration, Democrats, redistricting: None of those caused Eric Cantor's loss (265 comments)

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  •  Disagree (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    stevenaxelrod, chazz509, nancyjones

    Immigration played a bigger role in Cantor's defeat, but not for the reasons you think, and not in the way you think.  

    Yes, Graham has been a relative moderate, by GOP standards, on immigration reform.  He successfully shifted the debate condemning Obama for the Bergdahl - Taliban exchange, and had more mastery of the news cycles toward the end of the primaries.  That's one thing. He's also done a lot more to cultivate his base in SC and I agree that Cantor neglected to really represent his district.

    But there is news on immigration that is huge in the right wing media and scarcely reported here.  The number of unaccompanied children crossing the border has increased from 6,000 in 2011 to an estimated 90,000 this year. Because minors have to be transferred from CPB control within 72 hours, and the Office of Refugee Resettlement is unable to keep up with the vast numbers, the US has been placing these kids in military reservations and rapidly contracting facilities to hold all of them.  The reasons are many - increase in gang violence, and a perception on the part of parents and guardians that this might be their last chance to get kids here an reunite families.

    So the US is facing a crisis - arguably the biggest mass movement of unaccompanied teens since the Children's Crusade - and the right wing media is having a field day. Multiple GOP media creeps - Laura Ingraham, Mickey Kraus, Anne Coulter, etc - were all over Cantor on this.  They were calling him out by name on their radio shows and playing up the issue of a "wide open" border for undocumented children.  The criticism has been fierce and it has been directed at Cantor, and it has mostly escaped Graham.  Graham's challengers have not made his immigration record the major issue of the campaign.  Brat dogwhistled and collaborated directly with all of these right wing nuts, and I think there's still a strong argument to be made that in a primary with such low turnout in a limited area, filled with xenophobes and bigots, that this was what cost him the election.

    “If the misery of the poor be caused not by the laws of nature, but by our institutions, great is our sin.” Charles Darwin

    by ivorybill on Wed Jun 11, 2014 at 04:13:44 PM PDT

    •  That issue only surfaced in the past week or so (5+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      ActivistGuy, nimh, RainDog2, mbayrob, MichaelNY

      It's huge to contemplate talk radio being able to swing an election 30 or 40 points based on a one-week-old "scandal."

      •  It's been a major crisis for weeks (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        nancyjones, MichaelNY

        actually, longer.  I'm researching right now when this really broke on RW media, but this was the focus of John Kerry's trip to Mexico in May.  The US started sending kids to Lackland AFB in Texas nearly a month ago.

        Now when, precisely, the RW media picked up on it... that requires more research.

        “If the misery of the poor be caused not by the laws of nature, but by our institutions, great is our sin.” Charles Darwin

        by ivorybill on Wed Jun 11, 2014 at 05:13:54 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

    •  good analysis (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      ivorybill

      I watched FOx most of the night to see how they responded. Lady Laura was on there early with the Blonde One most of the time until the guys got there and crowded the ladies out. Laura pretty much said most of what you have detailed so well here. thanks for the post. and I hope one day to see the ivory bill woodpecker. probably in the Everglades.

      What Fresh Hell is This? -- Dorothy Parker

      by chazz509 on Wed Jun 11, 2014 at 05:05:22 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

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