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View Diary: President Obama statement on Iraq (247 comments)

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  •  On the other hand (4+ / 0-)
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    CenPhx, jlb1972, catwho, andrewj54

    Actually, if Iran really does throw in on this, our air support could be good here. Iran's military is pretty credible, but for several reasons, they can't really afford to fight a long war here. They do have air support available, but nothing compares to US air support. We do still have that going for us.

    Rouhami's a reasonable sort. He's not vehemently anti-Western, and is seen as a moderate reformer. This is not Ahmedinejad's Iran we're talking about. It's likely that Iranian action in Iraq will have the goal of establishing either a buffer state in eastern Iraq or flatly redrawing the border (no matter how much talk of safeguarding holy sites there might be).

    But if we can get over our irrational national Iranophobia, that might not be a bad thing. It's clear that Iraq, as we understand it, is probably not going to endure.  We can bargain with airstrikes to help Iran get a positive outcome, limiting the effectiveness of the ISIS crazies (which everyone should want), and earn a bargaining chip in the ongoing efforts to keep Iran out of the nuclear weapons treehouse.

    Needless to say, no matter what we do, we should avoid fucking up and airstriking the Iranians themselves...

    •  Who is President in Iran is nothing more than (0+ / 0-)

      a signal.

      It just tells you which faction among the senior mullahs was ascendant at the time the election was held.

      Ahmadinejad never had the power to do more than flap his gums.  

      Needless to say, no matter what we do, we should avoid fucking up and airstriking the Iranians themselves...
      There's pretty much no chance we can have sustained bombing operations near them without doing so.  We fuck up and bomb our allies - those actually in active radio contact with us - pretty often.

      ProTip - the people who like to play PVP MMORPG's often see this site as one.

      by JesseCW on Fri Jun 13, 2014 at 12:43:10 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

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