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View Diary: Furious McDaniel supporters won't back Cochran and want their guy to keep fighting (95 comments)

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  •  No, Childers will win the AA vote in a landslide (0+ / 0-)

    This poll means nothing.  We've just come off an ugly GOP primary where Cochran appealed to AA voters.  They will abandon him for the Dem Childers in November, as they always do.  In 2008 Cochran lost the AA vote 94-6%.  And that was with a lousy Dem candidate.  I'd be stunned if Childers fails to take 80%+ of the AA vote.

    •  But did Cochran ask for their vote (0+ / 0-)

      as he did in 2014?

      That actually does mean a lot to AA's believe it or not. and I've heard rumbles from many blacks who, on one hand, couldn't possibly vote Republican and, OTOH, are tired of having their vote taken for granted.

      •  this is my point--2008 wasn't a remotely competive (1+ / 0-)
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        Chitown Kev

        race, so Cochran wouldn't have had to extend himself much out of the R base.  The R-base dynamics this time are obviously entirely different--that's the only reason we're talking about this senate race now, past the primary.  Cochran won that primary, to everyone's surprise, because he made a bring-home-the-pork case that Childers will probably not be able to make, even if he's inclined to (I don't know if he is).  

        However, if Childers does take 90% of the AA vote and it's a reasonable turnout, plus a chunk of white moderates, plus a few McD spite votes, and if half of McD's vote really does stay home...well, things will get interesting.

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