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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Kansas, Michigan, and Washington primary liveblog #6 (108 comments)

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  •  Amicable primary (4+ / 0-)

    There are outside issues impacting this race.  Chad Taylor is a low money (I mean real low money) candidate who was running against a multiple decorated war veteran on the other side.

    Taylor has had some... issues with groups because of his stances on what many would view as progressive issues.  As a result, a lot of groups had withheld their endorsements, this left him pretty damaged by the time he got to the primary.

    He may be a good guy, but his last report gives him nothing really in the bank, and he'll face a heavily monied Roberts and an Independent who can spend millions.

    Most democrats kind of wrote him off.

    Gandhi's Seven Sins: Wealth without work; Pleasure without conscience; Knowledge without character; Commerce without morality; Science without humanity; Worship without sacrifice; Politics without principle
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    by Chris Reeves on Tue Aug 05, 2014 at 09:33:43 PM PDT

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    •  He'll be a heavy underdog against Roberts (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      6ZONite, Mopshell

      But I still wouldn't consider that race completely safe, especially if Brownback gets really creamed, which I think is possible despite Kansas' usually heavy Republican lean. But I'd rate this no more than Race to Watch, at most, and if he has no money to get his message out, forget it. There's no evidence so far that this will be even a Likely-R race.

      Formerly Pan on Swing State Project

      by MichaelNY on Tue Aug 05, 2014 at 11:03:44 PM PDT

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      •  The independent running (3+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        MichaelNY, 6ZONite, Mopshell

        Is likely to put millions into the race

        Gandhi's Seven Sins: Wealth without work; Pleasure without conscience; Knowledge without character; Commerce without morality; Science without humanity; Worship without sacrifice; Politics without principle
        >Follow @tmservo433

        by Chris Reeves on Wed Aug 06, 2014 at 12:21:07 AM PDT

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        •  That could help (2+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          6ZONite, Mopshell

          Or it might just split the anti-Roberts vote. Which do you think it will do?

          Formerly Pan on Swing State Project

          by MichaelNY on Wed Aug 06, 2014 at 12:27:31 AM PDT

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          •  Frankly.. (4+ / 0-)

            And I say this and many democrats get very upset, but I'm not sure how big of a factor Chad Taylor will really be.  His most recent FEC report has less then $2,000 cash on hand.   This will put him at ... well, let's just say a monumental disadvantage.  

            Greg Orman is what I would consider a moderate Republican.. but the damage to Roberts has really been done by Tea Partiers in the primary.. Kansas is a closed primary, if that many (R)s went against him, there is a far more legitimate chance that one guy who promises a short stay in DC and who will spend like water makes a major dent.

            Now, it could also help Chad Taylor.. but if Chad Taylor really wants to get out and make an impact, he's got to do a much better job campaigning and fundraising.

            On the other hand, if Orman and Roberts beat each other up badly enough, anything can happen

            Gandhi's Seven Sins: Wealth without work; Pleasure without conscience; Knowledge without character; Commerce without morality; Science without humanity; Worship without sacrifice; Politics without principle
            >Follow @tmservo433

            by Chris Reeves on Wed Aug 06, 2014 at 12:52:40 AM PDT

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            •  Might Orman win? (1+ / 0-)
              Recommended by:
              Mopshell

              If Orman is the only non-Roberts who can win, should Taylor withdraw and throw his support to Orman?

              Formerly Pan on Swing State Project

              by MichaelNY on Wed Aug 06, 2014 at 01:01:55 AM PDT

              [ Parent ]

              •  Huge debate on that right now.. (2+ / 0-)
                Recommended by:
                MichaelNY, Mopshell

                There are a lot of democrats who are very upset that Orman is going to run his race and who are of course standing by Chad Taylor.   But the reality is, Chad Taylor, barring some unbelievable fundraising effort in the next week is just.. well, he just can't work it out.  

                I don't see a strategy that nets him a win.  

                There are groups that want to get him to step aside, and he has 6 days if he wants to do that to remove himself..

                I don't see him doing that.   It's possible, but I doubt it.  Depending on what happens in the next few weeks though it will get very tricky.

                Orman is going to approach every democrat and moderate Republican in the field and try to get their endorsement.  And his PACs can load up their PACs and then who knows.

                I have no idea what happens, and of course it is possible that Chad Taylor can work a miracle and fundraise like he never has before this week.

                Gandhi's Seven Sins: Wealth without work; Pleasure without conscience; Knowledge without character; Commerce without morality; Science without humanity; Worship without sacrifice; Politics without principle
                >Follow @tmservo433

                by Chris Reeves on Wed Aug 06, 2014 at 01:16:36 AM PDT

                [ Parent ]

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