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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 8/4 (261 comments)

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  •  Well here's Polling Report, for one source (1+ / 0-)
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    MichaelNY

    Actually, this of course is a compendium of all recent polling:  http://www.pollingreport.com/...

    In particular one can examine the questions attempting to tease out whether a respondent cares about immigration at all, like if it's "extremely important" or "very important" to voting, or how much of a "priority" immigration legislation should be, or if it makes a respondent "more likely" or "less likely" to vote for someone whose immigration views/vote go a certain way.

    Even those aren't great ways to tease out voting priorities, because I tend to believe people inflate their own subjective concern on an issue out of a feeling they're "supposed" to care about everything.  So I tend to discount people's responses saying something actually matters to them.

    Beyond that, you can see that most respondents are broadly pro-immigration, including that they are overwhelmingly resigned to inclusiveness toward undocumenteds who have established U.S. roots, and also (though less overwhelmingly) toward the recent influx of children.

    The way to look at this is to realize that voters can consider a lot of different issues in deciding who to vote for, but they don't want to consider a lot of issues because they don't care about politics that much...so they distill to a very few things that actually matter to them.  And those very few things, for the non-partisan or soft partisan voter, always center around a combination of personal/family/community self-interest, and personal values.

    Immigration just isn't a matter of self-interest or personal values for a non-partisan or soft partisan voter outside immigrant-heavy communities.  You might have the occasional white voter who is otherwise apolitical but sees him and/or his friends losing jobs to immigrants in a meatpacking plant.  But there aren't many of those, as I know personally from the transformation in my own hometown in Iowa...voting behavior isn't really affected much.

    46, male, Indian-American, and proud father of a girl and 2 boys, Democrat, VA-10

    by DCCyclone on Tue Aug 05, 2014 at 10:00:18 AM PDT

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