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View Diary: House Races to Defend (with Ranking) (155 comments)

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  •  soooooo close (none)
    Using your lower estimate of Dems winning 60% of the in-play seats, we'd lose 4 to 6 seats (40% of 10-15 D seats in play) but gain 18-21 seats (60% of 30-35 R seats in-play).  That's a net gain of 14 seats.  We go from 204 to 218, the R's drop from 231 to .... 217.  So close.

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