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View Diary: Viguerie blasts Miers (125 comments)

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  •  Rove is thinking about the gender gap (4.00)
    Meirs may not really be a moderate, but she looks like she could be one -- to the rabid wingnuts, at least -- and the White House is probably calculating that female swing voters will perceive her that way too. They are also calculating -- quite correctly, I think -- that this is NOT the time to make those female voters uneasy by waging all-out war with the nomination of an openly extreme ideologue.

    All of the fire-breathing winger's delusions aside, their boy didn't get close to winning the first time or pushed over the top the second time because of them. He did so by narrowing the gender gap.

    My guess is that if you looked at the internal polling Rove is looking at now you'd see that the huge erosion in recent support for the President -- and Republicans in general -- is most explained by the defection of women. Cindy Sheehan brought home our failures in Iraq, Katrina revealed our unpreparedness at home, and both have destroyed the Bush "security" argument -- the main argument he made to those women. Meanwhile, women are seeing their household budgets wrecked by constantly escalating gas prices and are fearful of the dramatic increases in heating oil prices their families will face this winter. Furthermore, the deficits and budget cuts arising from Bush's war and tax cuts for the rich most affect the kind of domestic spending and social services that, as family caretakers, are of most direct importance to women. And then, of course, there are the administration's miscalculations with Social Security "reform."

    Rove certainly knows that right now the Republican's have enough woman trouble as it is -- and that a huge ideological fight that gladdens the hearts of their most extreme constiuencies is very likely to frighten the moderate ladies. Bush may not need women's votes anymore -- but the Republican party still does. In the mid terms and in 2008. There's no way the party can become the "permanent majority" the pajama crowd hopes for if they can't get enough women to play along.

    •  This makes a lot of sense... (none)
      All of the fire-breathing winger's delusions aside, their boy didn't get close to winning the first time or pushed over the top the second time because of them. He did so by narrowing the gender gap.

      My guess is that if you looked at the internal polling Rove is looking at now you'd see that the huge erosion in recent support for the President -- and Republicans in general -- is most explained by the defection of women.

      I think many women would have seen through a "token woman wingnut" nominee, but I suspect Miers will give Bush most of what he wants in a nominee (the corporatist agenda) but while at the same time not alienating the "moderates" who vote Republican.

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