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View Diary: Michigan HDs: 2006 outlook & analysis (4 comments)

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  •  Great analysis (none)
    A few comments:

    1. Some of your Kerry numbers in the chart (see the Stupak line) are screwed up.

    2. I know Fred Upton is tough to take out and not an ogre as Republicans go, but I think it's time to start building in that district. Kalamazoo is the type of town where Democrats win big if they're energized. It's a real mixture, but a lot of the Dem voters (students, blacks) tend to stay home unless they get a figure who motivates them. The last one was Mary Brown, state rep in the 1980s. You can run and lose and still keep Upton out of the fundies' reach, and create name recognition and organization for the future. The district has a lot of grassroots orgs, even in the smaller towns, and it's tailor-made for a good progressive IMO.

    3. You're absolutely right about Oakland County. The question is, why aren't we hearing about a good strong candidate to take Knollenberg on? I know for a fact that a good part of the Republicans' success in Michigan in the 1990s was due to Big Jawn Engler's dogged determination to sit down at the phones and lean on promising candidates until they agreed to run. Wish our fair-haired governor would do a bit more of the same. The people of this state, wherever they are, are wide open for a strong economic appeal right now! Maybe she's working on it, but I just haven't heard about it yet.

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