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View Diary: SUSA's latest 50-state Bush poll (217 comments)

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  •  How about actually *reading* pollingreport.com? (none)
    http://www.pollingreport.com/2006.htm

    typical recent Control of Congress polling:

    R 41%, D 46%, Unsure 12%  (likely voters, Democracy Corps, ea Oct)

    The most accurate result, to my reading is, actually by Opinion Dynamics (Fox News's contractor), which is essentially identical to the above once you drop out the ~20% nonvoters:

    R 32% , D 40%, Unsure 10%, mixed/won't vote 18% (registered voters, September)

    Indies/centrists basically don't vote in midterms.  The Unsures are all moderate Republican voters, obviously.  As seen in 1994, it's a pattern in major swing elections the defecting moderates tend to end up not showing up to vote.  We've got them half of the way there.

    So, the 'approval' ratings are beside the point.  In such embittered times, of course only the strong partisans for each side have strong outward support for their side in Congress.

    Renewal, not mere Reform.

    by killjoy on Tue Oct 18, 2005 at 07:44:56 PM PDT

    [ Parent ]

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