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View Diary: Battle Plan for Iran: The Khuzestan Gambit (90% of Iran's Oil) (246 comments)

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  •  October Surprise (none)
    "The Iranians plan to open their own oil "bourse" in March, which will be the first oil state to sell oil for Euros.  This will have the effect of driving the dollar down, so Bush and Cheney have great incentive to act now."

    Will they really attack in the next month? Even if it means they can't use the war to boost them in November? Also, wouldn't we be seeing some sort of military build up right now?

    •  We're just taking Khuzestan (none)
      It's like invading a small Northeast state.

      You go where 90% of the oil is.  150 miles long and 100 miles wide.

      Plus the Arab rebels there will do some of the killing for us!

      •  I really doubt it would be quite that easy. (none)
        Our troops are not deployed for such an operation, as far as I know. Much of the border is protected by the marshes and a sandy desert, and the British are holding Basra. It seems to me we would have to come in through the north by way of Dezful, a relatively constricted invasion route. The road network looks pretty thin there, though my maps are old & I could be wrong.

        The Iranians have plenty of allies in the Shiite part of Iraq. It would be hard for us to deploy without the Iranians -- and the whole world -- knowing.

        "I'm having trouble with my boy." -- George H. W. Bush, 2004

        by Shiborg on Thu Feb 23, 2006 at 08:26:44 PM PST

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        •  You don't understand. (none)
          The BRitish are starting this.  British intelligence is ALREADY inside Khuzestan and rousing up the Arab al-Ahwaz separatists.  Marine intelligence contractors are right there with the British taking risks and helping out.

          ALREADY.

          The British will go in with us.  

          You know there's a company called British Petroleum.  The Khuzestan oil fields are probably already divided up between BP, Chevron, Texaco, etc.

          •  Links? (none)
            Evidence?

            "Be kind" - is that a religion?

            by ThatBritGuy on Fri Feb 24, 2006 at 04:04:05 AM PST

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          •  This would be the equivalent... (none)
            of the Ardennes Salient (aka "Battle of the Bulge") for US and UK forces...every wellhead is wired for demolition the moment the inertia of an invasion goes the way of a Western armed force. But in the monds of the Halliburtonites, this is desirable, as the rebuilding contracts alone are golden.

            Besides, Iran's military is as fresh as a daisy and has garnered technical training and materiel from the Chinese for years...and you end up pissing off the Kurds who have been railing for self-determination. I don't think the Mosulfolk would greatly appreciate the rallying clarion call of "Khuzestan for the Khuzestani Bakhtiari Shi'i".

            Hormuz chokepoint gets obliterated with scuttled transports and the Persian Gulf becomes a Sunburn missile test proving ground.

            The neocon playbook is pie-in-the-sky...they really, really do not want what would be the aftermath of this campaign.

            People in Eurasia on the brink of oppression: I hope it's gonna be alright... Pet Shop Boys: Introspective

            by rgilly on Fri Feb 24, 2006 at 04:41:09 AM PST

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