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View Diary: Battle Plan for Iran: The Khuzestan Gambit (90% of Iran's Oil) (246 comments)

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  •  The Iranians (none)
    Used human wave attacks, ala the Chinese in the Korean war at great cost in lives to throw the Iraqis out of Iran. Iraq had gotten within shelling distance of Tehran early in the war.

    Granted we do not have a third world military but just like in Korea where we had military equipment and training superiority it all came down to whether or not there was enough ammunition, shells, bombs, etc or guns didn't jam before they got to you.

    There is no telling how the Iranians would play it but were they to pull off a successful human wave assault the U.S. casualties would be higher than the public would accept.

    That all aside. I would expect that Iran learned quite a bit through our debacle in Iraq and how to tie us down using guerilla tactics.

    Lastly, there is always the possibility that Iran would not wait to be attacked and could push across the Faw peninsula and cut the supply lines out of Kuwait. Their opportunity to do so would only be before we have moved large forces to the south of Iraq. We can't do this without it being known to the Iranians who have agents all over the south of Iraq.

    If something like that were to happen - even if the Iranians couldn't hold that advance - it would disrupt supplies to our soldiers that remain in Mosul, Anbar, Diyala and that could result in disasters all over Iraq.

    There are a lot of ifs but some things to keep in mind.

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