Daily Kos

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  •  Hard count (none / 0)

    As I said up above in my first post, I don't know where Karmakin got his 60K number. And nobody that I know of ain't talkin' just yet.

    I discerned that you were having trouble seeing the significance of the (rumored) 60-65% first-timer figure, so I decided to put together an estimate of my own, based upon the (systematically inaccurate) poll numbers and the (speculative) first-timer estimate. Take it as you will.

    by ploeg on Sun Jan 18, 2004 at 05:29:31 PM PDT

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    •  Oh, I see (none / 0)

      We must've miscommunicated.  Probably my fault.  No, I think the first-timer figure is quite significant.

      by gimmeaD on Sun Jan 18, 2004 at 05:33:45 PM PDT

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    •  If Dean's Hard Count is 40,000 . . . (none / 0)

      He may win this in a walk.  Record turnout it 120k, if I'm not mistaken.

      A 33% increase over the previous record is only 160k.  Dean would have 25% of that.

      If there are candidates -- the "other three" who pony up 40k of their own, or more, they deserve the accolades.

      Keep that numerator at 40 and ratchet down the demoninator and things look better and better for Dean.

      I'm ready for anything on Tuesday, but the confidence level -- give the huge slide in the polls -- must mean something.

      Trippi et al have made me nervous with "questionable" promises for expectations but have yet to let the DFA community down.

      An if Dean's HC is 50k or 60k, fagghidaboudit.

      John McCain a/k/a John Sidney "Grampy McSame"

      by MRL on Sun Jan 18, 2004 at 05:40:52 PM PDT

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