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I like the idea of the rotating system outlined here: http://www.mydd.com/story/2004/8/4/144733/9372
How are Democrats supposed to develop strong messages to speak to Jewish, Hispanic, black voters, but especially suburban voters (where the swing populations are) if Iowa and New Hampshire (which have almost none of these) are always the kingmakers? If the candidates are always spending months and months in Iowa and New Hampshire refining and honing their messages, how do we expect the "fittest" survivor to emerge with anything compelling for the other critical Democratic constituencies? For crying out loud, Kerry was the nomineee mostly because he won Iowa in the primaries... and he couldn't even carry the state in the general!
FiveThirtyEight.com
by PocketNines on Mon Nov 15, 2004 at 12:58:07 AM PDT
[ Parent ]
I believe that is the problem right there. No wonder the Dimwits are losing. Why do all these groups need their own message? Aren't we all after pretty much the same thing: respect, dignity, being treated like we matter, and being given the opportunity to not only exercise our freedoms, but also to participate as citizens?
The problem is that we are not learning to find common ground with each other and work out our differences by making some adjustments, which is what the caucus--when used the way if was meant to be used by the American Indians--would help us do. Instead we argue and forget to treat each other like human beings. Making separate messages for each "interest group" is only an exercise in marketing. It doesn't get at real human problems. I'm sick of marketing.
What I want is some good ole fashioned straight-talk, integrity, humanity, and real representation, not paternalism or top-dowm heirarchical authoritarianism.
Making judgements without intellectual justification is prejudice. We do not act rightly because have virture, we have virtue because we act rightly.
by NeoLotus on Mon Nov 15, 2004 at 01:39:23 AM PDT
The democratic party Must learn to appeal to the american People again.
And .. dont you love that the DLCers believe what the party theyve led to loss after loss needs most is... to protect their home state interests. Ugh
I tremble for my country when I reflect that God is just; that his justice cannot sleep forever TJ
by cdreid on Mon Nov 15, 2004 at 02:29:26 AM PDT
The democrats message was lost in long winded speeches of Kerry. I can recite almost the entire Bush stump speech (gag), but none of Kerry's.
Why is that? Why do I know my opponent's speech and not my own guy's? Marketing. Pure and simple marketing.
If Democrats want to win anything back it can only be done with old fashioned marketing. simple messsages that can have some of your 'ole fashioned straight-talk' but it has to be targeted,concise and understandable.
Remember Edwards 'Two Americas' stump speech? there is the perfect example of where the Democrats need to be.
by NHhermit on Mon Nov 15, 2004 at 04:26:13 AM PDT
The Kerry campaign was plagued by an understandable uncertainty: do we talk about bread and butter stuff that we have credibility on knowing that if we can make this the issue that people vote on, we'll win, or do we resign ourselves to fighting it out on homeland security/Iraq/WoT, where we are likely to lose but where the debate is likely to stay focussed in many voters' minds?
A key mistake that they made was not to make a choice, one or the other, and stick with it. I felt like Kerry was trying to "deal" with the security issues so that he could pivot to bread and butter - and it sounds like a good strategy, because you can't ignore security, but you want to move to your strength. The problem is that Kerry ended up looking like you're trying to change the subject, which made him look like he wasn't confident in what he had to say about security.
I don't know if Edwards' "Two Americas" theme would have survived this problem if he'd been the nominee. I hope he would have the sense to pick a topic and stick with it - hammer away until voters are sure they know exactly what you're about. That's how you deliver a message in this business.
Kerry didn't do that, and he lost. Why? I can't remember what his core message was except "elect a Dem as an alternative to Bush". What was Gore's core message again? I don't remember that either. What I do remember is that Bill Clinton was the "man from Hope". And I remember that John Edwards wants to do something about the "Two Americas".
by redsoxkangaroo on Mon Nov 15, 2004 at 06:54:02 AM PDT
"You must be the change you wish to see in the world" Mohandas Gandhi
by baracon on Mon Nov 15, 2004 at 07:12:28 AM PDT
Bush would repeat the same message over and over.... to the point that he sounded like a complete moron. But the message sold.
Kind of like you have to hear a commercial 15-20 times for the message to stick.
Kerry (and Gore) both appeared too cerebral and even with facts on their side, people just wanted to shut the smartest kid in the class room up.
That is where I really have a hard time figuring out what to do. Crafting a simple message and a simple messanger just rubs me the wrong way. We need the brightest Americans making policy, not the simplest...
by NHhermit on Mon Nov 15, 2004 at 07:14:17 AM PDT
If you want to blame someone.....I blame his handlers....especially in the beginning. Mary Beth Cahill in particular. She was so nothing......during the Swift Boat Vets ads....and then the comment about Mary Cheney being fair game! Boo.....that was bad.
And reading the Boston Globe yesterday, I found out that Paul Begala was asked privately by Kerry to come join the campaign...and he at first declinced....cause he would have to quit his job.....then decided it was too important not to. So he talked to Cahill and she never returned the call or relayed the message. She wanted the glory and the power. Bagala was aghast at the way Kerry was being managed. Why did they not pounce on the prison scandal.???? Instead they talked of economy and health care. Why did they not respond to the SBVT lies. Like him or not he understands that politics is dirty, especially when you are playing against Karl Rove......! All these egos in the way. We came so close.......!
Yesterday I heard Carville say that the Democratic party rolled over and died they day they passed fourteen more loopholes for taxbreaks to companies that shift jobs overseas. This was lilke a couple of weeks ago. The corporate lobbyists are lining their pockets....and they just roll over!
We need to fix things......but it isn't going to happen overnight.
One of the first best things we can do IMHO is hold the media accountable.
This CIA story.......don't let them get away with milktoast coverage. The CIA was doing their job and Bush ignored and surpressed the intelligence.
Overthrow the Government ~Vote~
by missliberties on Mon Nov 15, 2004 at 08:00:33 AM PDT
Let me rephrase my argument in the way that it was originally meant. After Iowa and New Hampshire, you have basically a front-runner, one trailing (but not hopelessly so) rival, and one or two longshots. And that's after two nearly all-white states with basically no suburbs have their say.
These candidates have not ben battle tested among the real core audiences of the Democratic Party which is fundamentally urban and diverse. You speak of the idealism of caucusing but then you want to leave the system in place where the actual caucusers are pretty homogeneous - how exactly does "common ground" emerge from these caucuses when the overwhelming majority of Democrats aren't even at the table?
Here's merely one example. Some Jewish voters care a hell of a lot about US-Israel policy. Not all, some. Those that do REALLY care about it. And these voters want to hear the candidates articulate how they would approach this aspect of foreign policy if elected. But if there are no Jewish voters in the mix to really worry about, where is the early months-and-months pressure to articulate this policy for the candidates? Where is the proving ground to weed out inauthenticity?
That is just one example. You can argue that issues like these should not supercede larger, more global issues about a candidate's vision, the ones that affect all of us. And you would be right. But there also should be world peace, because every citizen has an interest in peace between nations.
So you wake up in the middle of the GE with a candidate who never had to go through a testing by fire on a number of issues that may rank highly within traditional Democratic consituencies. Instead of having a candidate that you KNOW will connect with Jewish voters in Florida, for example, you have a candidate that you KNOW did well among Iowa non-Jewish Democrats and you HOPE will do well with Florida voters who do care a lot about this issue.
And there is a cost to the Democratic nominee because of this absence of early pressure. These aren't fringe issues, they are issues important to many in your base.
So you try making up for lost ground by focus grouping. Then you become dependent on focus grouping - you KNOW for a fact what worked in Iowa, you're GUESSING what will play in Florida and Nevada. And now you come off like a panderer, because all of a sudden people are hearing your messages for the first time in the middle of the GE.
Candidates tend to overplay in the GE their arguments that they know worked the primaries. It's only human. When they do speak to the newer, untested issues, they don't feel as comfortable, so they get far less emphasis and voters who DO care about those issues come away feeling like they're unsure of the candidate's position.
Isn't it better to have candidates who won't have the perception of pandering because they never make it to the nomination in the first place unless they had it within them all along?
by PocketNines on Mon Nov 15, 2004 at 04:44:36 AM PDT
wide narrow
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