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  •  Re: One thing about RV (none / 0)

    "One thing about RV is that not all the voters who will vote in Nov. are  registered yet.  Voter reg drives will add new voters to the rolls, and I suspect that there will be more net Dems than Reps."

    While this certainly could be true this year...

    Almost every study ever done shows that non-voters closely mirror the political preferences of voters.  The theory that Democrats would partisanly benefit if 100% of Americans voted isn't true.

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    by NoDissentAllowed on Thu Jul 15, 2004 at 02:31:03 PM PDT

    [ Parent ]

    •  links? (none / 0)

      That's hard to believe. Do you have any links to such studies? My understanding has always been that non-voting but registered voters tend towards the poor, minorities, and working classes -- not your typical R demography.

      And certainly targeting voter registration drives in heavily democratic voting precincts can drive up the D numbers significantly. Especially in congressional races. I certainly hope its being done.

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      by chuco35 on Thu Jul 15, 2004 at 03:20:35 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Re: links? (none / 0)

        "That's hard to believe."

        I agree it's slightly counter-intuitive.

        "Do you have any links to such studies?"

        Not at hand.  Try Google.

        "My understanding has always been that non-voting but registered voters tend towards..."

        FWIW, the studies I've seen are talking about the lack of difference between actual voters and all eligible adults, not registered non-voters.  But I'd guess registered non-voters would be similar as well.

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        by NoDissentAllowed on Thu Jul 15, 2004 at 03:32:48 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

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