Besides the states that Arbinder says are leaning Obama which my spreadsheet doesn't have that way (AL, KS, MN, ND), I expect Arkansas and Delaware won't turn out as lopsided as they appear right now.  There isn't any polling data out of AK or ND, so I just mirrored the latest national poll for them.

All in all, it is a pleasant surprise for me as an Obama supporter.  For Clinton to win by 120 delegates wouldn't be so bad considering the following states are better for Obama, and I expect things to tighten before Tuesday.