Thanks much, I completely spaced on that

He very transiently - for a couple of minutes - was trading as the frontrunner in July 2007, before stabilizing a couple of points below her. Then he crashed after the Hillary campaign used his comments about Pakistan to spread the ridiculous "Obama is not experienced" meme.  He then became the frontrunner for the second time after Iowa, which obviously only lasted until New Hampshire. This is the third time he's ahead of her.

Not making a political judgment - just a basic market timing principle: Buy on weakness / Sell on strength.

Tonight might be a good time to sell your Obama position and put a bet on Clinton, while Obama is flying high. I don't know how many more movie stars endorsements he can pull out of the hat. You don't have to wait for the election to sell, just sell on the next Obama dip/Clinton rise.

I may have to sign up and make a bet myself.

My observation - there are an awful lot of people who bet against the Clintons over the years, and found themselves on the ground with tire tracks across their back. That was a political judgment.