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Non-political junkies might not breathe politics the way we do. But what they have breathed up to now, it's been plenty.
As for superdelegates, I'm pretty convinced the rest of them will flow to whoever is ahead among pledged delegates. And I don't think it will remain close to the end. Either Obama rolls through February and closes it out with the scenario I laid out above, or Hillary pulls some upsets, Obama fumbles the debates, and Hillary pulls out sizable victories in Ohio and Texas. At that point she'll have the momentum to Pennsylvania and he may consider dropping out even before then.
What I don't think will happen is Obama rolling off a bunch of big victories and then Hillary turning the tide back in OH and TX, setting a up a showdown in PA, followed by more close primaries in IN, KY, NC, OR and elsewhere. I just don't think voters will stay on the fence that long.
by Elrod on Fri Feb 08, 2008 at 11:24:21 PM PDT
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wide narrow
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