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but Hillary is ahead in Rasmussen. That Rasmussen tracker is worthy of concern.
Obama needs to go on about how Americans want the same things regardless of whether they live in a small town or urban center. Americans want good paying jobs, and they want to provide for their families.
by kanuk on Sun Apr 13, 2008 at 10:38:51 AM PDT
We should all remember that they had Obama up in the middle of Wrightgate while Gallup had him way down.
AFTER Wright when he started revovering and Gallup had him up, they had him down! They are NOT a good pollster.
We. Just. Need. To. Win. (F*ck Purity Trolls!)
by jenontheshore on Sun Apr 13, 2008 at 10:46:01 AM PDT
[ Parent ]
I'll refer you to Poblano's pollster rankings.
Rasmussen actually polls about 0.7 points closer to the actual election results than the average pollsters in the same elections. Poblano ranks him 3rd, after SUSA and PPP.
by ARingMD2B on Sun Apr 13, 2008 at 10:49:38 AM PDT
The state polls are somewhat decent.
But the tracking poll has been consistently divergent from Gallup. When Barack was in his winning streak in February, they showed him behind Hillary even while Gallup had him at his highest.
Anyway, it's good to keep in mind that they have had several episodes where they report strange results, while Gallup reports more believable numbers.
by jenontheshore on Sun Apr 13, 2008 at 10:52:00 AM PDT
that is why I made the graph of the average of the two trackers. It really smooths out alot the the day-to-day fluxation. At the height of the Wright controversy (4 day period), Hillary led in the aggregate by 2 points.
by ARingMD2B on Sun Apr 13, 2008 at 10:53:47 AM PDT
Their latest figures released 04/08/08, show Hillary Clinton ahead of Barack Obama 56% to 38%. They seem to press the undecided to choose, as there were only 2% undecided and 4% voting for "others" (Why?). They went for only registered voters likely to vote. This did not seem different from their March poll figures.
This has led me to take all the talk about "narrowing the lead" with a grain of salt. I do hope it is true though. If Barack spent the next few days touring PA, we might have a real chance of winning. It would certainly be check-mate for Hillary McClinton.
Obama: Ending John McCain's 100-year-War.
by yaddab on Sun Apr 13, 2008 at 11:02:30 AM PDT
It's even prefaced on his site by saying something like "there was a slight downward trend pre-remarks."
Even if national polls were to matter at this point, this wouldnt signify significant movement.
Step 1: Get Obama in. Step 2. Step on Steny Hoyer's windpipe.
by jkennerl on Sun Apr 13, 2008 at 10:48:21 AM PDT
wide narrow
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