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And it's even worse than Markos says. Hover over the "barely winning" states in Hillary's map to get the actual numbers, with margins, from the polls being used:
WA: +3 OR: +1 NV: +1 MN: +1 MO: +1 OH: +3 FL: +1 NJ: +1 CT: +3
Now do the same for the "barely winning" states in Obama's map:
NV: +4 CO: +3 MI: +2 NJ: +2 MA: +2
That's right -- six of the eight polls being used to show Hillary's "advantage" are based on one-point leads. None of Obama's are. I'm willing to call anything under three points a "virtual tie" -- in that case, Hillary would have 38 EVs in the "barely" category and Obama would have 14 EVs.
Making much of those sorts of differences is silliness this far out anyway, but using them as a main basis for support of a candidate -- that's transcendantly silly. But at any rate, if you count all states with advantages of 3 points and up, Hillary has 210 EVs and Obama has 225. For those people who'd like to have fingernails left at the end of election day, the implications are clear.
John McCain's Court will overturn Roe; don't kid yourself.
by Seneca Doane on Thu Apr 24, 2008 at 12:45:16 PM PDT
[ Parent ]
already chewed 'em to heck and back, and there's still more than six months to go....
by pmukh on Thu Apr 24, 2008 at 01:11:25 PM PDT
wide narrow
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