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  •  Mississippi? (0+ / 0-)

    I don't think so, that's a dream, no matter who the nominee is, black support or not.  I would also forget Texas, the GE is totally different than the primary.

    I will say that New Hampshire probably goes Dem. either way, but isn't even in question if Hillary is the nominee.

    What about Minnesota?  

    If Bill was still in charge, this wouldn't all be happening...

    by letsbepragmatic on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 06:03:34 PM PDT

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    •  I disagree (2+ / 0-)

      Recommended by:
      BasharH, Aqualad08

      Obama will turnout black support in very large numbers, and Musgrove is conservative enough to win enough white votes that could push him over the top.  Obama will not win Mississippi, but many white Dems/independents will split McCain/Musgrove.  Also I think many evangelicals may well stay home, McCain doesn't excite them.

      Texas, I think Noriega will turnout Hispanics (which turned out in enormous numbers in the primary, which is why Clinton won) in huge numbers, which could put Cornyn at risk.  If Obama can get 70-75% among Hispanics (very tough against McCain), and does well in the Rethug suburbs, I think he would have a chance of even taking the state.  This could be a case of reverse coattails, with Noriega helping the Democratic nominee.

      Minnesota, I think Franken wins with Obama as the nominee, Coleman and McCain win with Clinton as the nominee.  This is a state where Obama will do significantly better than Clinton.

      John McCain's Something for Everyone Plan: Military draft for youth, SS benefit cuts for elderly, Middle Class destruction, stock market plunge for wealthy.

      by IhateBush on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 06:10:30 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Agreed on Mississippi... (0+ / 0-)

        ...where AA's make up a huge voting block that, to be honest, has had little reason over the last 100 years to be excited about the vote...they will be energized and while they may not turn the state blue, I think they will put Musgrave over the top for the exact reasons you stated...

        Abortions for some, miniature American flags for others.

        by Aqualad08 on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 06:42:12 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

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