Daily Kos

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  •  i hereby officially flush (141+ / 0-)

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    the words 'Obama should...' from my vocabulary

    mi 'di thag chod ma byed na, nga tsho la las yod ma red

    by jedley on Thu May 15, 2008 at 01:21:37 AM PDT

    [ Parent ]

    •  I can't agree more (58+ / 0-)

      I expect the remaining rollout to be superbly orchestrated. In states he has won, he has 11 Senators to her 5, and two thirds of all remaining DNC and Add-on supers.

      She will win Kentucky, but expect the next big endorsements to flow after he reaches 1627 PDs on Tuesday. Then he gets Pelosi.

      I wouldn't be surprised if there were also some high publicity Clinton defections, like Maria Cantwell (Sen-WA) who is also in the Pelosi club.

      And we still have 4 DPLers who would make extraordinary endorsements for these extraordinary times.

      I know some will say that Gore and Carter won't support until the convention. But the times have changed. When these comments were made these two supers didn't know about the Clinton plan to drag the party through the mud.

      Next week, we'll see fireworks. Edwards was the lynchpin, the big fish for the new unity theme of bringing the party together.

      Obama as maestro orchestrating this long-awaited end. Yes, let's stop second guessing the campaign and the man. He's got the plan.

      Patrick

      •  somehow this ephemeral faith (28+ / 0-)

        in Obama's intelligence and foresight reassures me far more than the 'delegate math' we've all been recycling ad nauseum since February, undeniably concrete though it is.
        i wonder why?
        is it because i instinctively sense that the physical world can change in an instant, but that destiny cannot be altered?
        am i really willing to buy that?
        yeah, i think i am!

        mi 'di thag chod ma byed na, nga tsho la las yod ma red

        by jedley on Thu May 15, 2008 at 03:33:27 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  Yes, it makes me want to get down and worship him (17+ / 0-)

          'cuz if the Bush years have taught me anything, it's that things like math & science ain't worth shit anymore . . .

          •  Glad snark, coz' we getting a little Omaniac here (11+ / 0-)

            ....the thinking analyzing person's kind.
            Rec'd with thanks

            •  Yeah, the gist of the diary (7+ / 0-)

              "wow, this guy is way smarter than us, let's stop thinking" was just a tad troubling . . .

              Clearly, he has assembled a top-notch, politically-savvy campaign team.  Bravo on that.

              Some other things - his hyper-religiousity for example - doesn't seem all that super intelligent to me (perhaps politically savvy once again to dispel the "he's a muslim" meme . . . but really, believing in an imaginary friend in the sky, how intelligent is that?).

              In any event, I suspect the collective wisdom of DK remains the match of Mr. Obama Big Brain on any given thursday morning . . ..

              •  hyperbole (15+ / 0-)

                come on, the gist is not 'let's stop thinking', but rather 'he's proven we can trust him'

                mi 'di thag chod ma byed na, nga tsho la las yod ma red

                by jedley on Thu May 15, 2008 at 05:51:59 AM PDT

                [ Parent ]

              •  I think it's important to separate (23+ / 0-)

                politics from policy.

                I want Obama to listen to people on matters of policy-- Iraq, energy, etc.

                But when it comes to politics-- picking a VP, responding to criticism, where to fly next-- that's up to him and his staff. The various "Obama must pick X as his running mate" diaries are kind of silly

              •  "Religious" does not equate with "religiosity" (16+ / 0-)

                You may think that all people of professed religion are the same, but I beg to differ.

                Regardless of your opinion of Obama's "imagination," Obama does not impose his religious views on anyone else, nor does he make calculated shows of piety in an effort to attract votes.

                OTOH the PNAC administration not only imposes a particular view on others (and a hypocritical view, I might add), it shamelessly uses the sincere faith of many as either a club, a lever, or both.

                There are 10 kinds of people in the world: those who know binary and those who don't. (-5.25, -4.97)

                by JBL55 on Thu May 15, 2008 at 05:58:57 AM PDT

                [ Parent ]

                •  Totally agreed that (6+ / 0-)

                  "Obama does not impose his religious views on anyone else"

                  But totally disagree on

                  "nor does he make calculated shows of piety in an effort to attract votes"

                  If not, why does he play up his "faith" on his campaign website?

                  And what the fuck is up with this?

                  It looks like a debate on science and environmental issues won't be happening between Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama and John McCain -- although the Dems have agreed to one on moral issues. So they will talk faith, but not science ?

                  link

                  Why would eschew the primary factor - science and technology - that has made America great over the past 150 years talk about something - faith and morality - constitutionally outside the realm of the presidency?

                  Not naked pandering? huh?

                  (note that this is not a slam on Obama, his competetition is worse, but still, it'd be nice to have just slightly higher standards . . .)

                  •  The focus on religion (3+ / 0-)

                    Recommended by:
                    Roadbed Guy, mikolo, Blogvirgin

                    has increased as the press and some portions of the public have pushed him on it.  The Wright nonsense was the tipping point.  And after that he injected it more and more into his speeches.  A recent Pew study indicated that the public considers atheists least acceptable, of all demographic sub-groups, for office.  Talk about ignorance and prejudice!

                    When Obama first burst on the national scene as a possible presidential candidate, one thing that bothered me was that very conservative friends in Illinois loved him because he was so religious.  This gave me pause.  Still gives me pause.  I do not like to see religion--a private matter--as part of the political campaign.  The men who wrote the First Amendment to the Constitution argued quite forcefully that religion was a matter of individual conscience.  And gave many reasons why that should be so.  I recently took a class where we examined many of the documents related to the two religion clauses of the First Amendment and various First Amendment court decisions since then.  It is amazing how Jefferson's "wall" between church and state has been eroded.

                    I remember when people were interviewed regarding their support for Bush and they said he was a "god-fearing Christian" and that was enough for them.  He's proven to be so moral and ethical, hasn't he?

                  •   Roadbed Guy - maybe the candidates know more (2+ / 0-)

                    Recommended by:
                    gogol, Roadbed Guy

                    about religion then they do about science and technology?

                    Why would eschew the primary factor - science and technology - that has made America great over the past 150 years talk about something - faith and morality - constitutionally outside the realm of the presidency?

                    The major problems in the world are the result of the difference between how nature works and the way people think. Gregory Bateson

                    by Amber6541 on Thu May 15, 2008 at 07:07:45 AM PDT

                    [ Parent ]

                  •  i think they read my bible thumping and you (2+ / 0-)

                    Recommended by:
                    Roadbed Guy, MooseHB

                    diary way back when :)  I wrote that last year pleading for Democrats to not pander to religion, but to not be afraid to show that they are religious to take away the Republicans stranglehold on the Religious vote.

                    Dennis: Come and see the violence inherent in the system. Help! Help! I'm being repressed! King Arthur: Bloody peasant! Dennis: Oh, what a giveaway!

                    by wargolem on Thu May 15, 2008 at 07:14:34 AM PDT

                    [ Parent ]

                  •  I don't understand why proclaiming. . . (3+ / 0-)

                    Recommended by:
                    Magenta, Samwoman, MooseHB

                    . . .one's faith is pandering.  I don't equate an unapologetic statement of his beliefs as "playing up" his faith.  It's just one aspect of what makes him who he is.  For some, it's an important element, for others, far less so.

                    One of the many, many factors that is very appealing to me about Barack is that he is so comfortable in his own skin.  He doesn't need to pander.  He says, "this is who I am."  

                    •  It is pandering because religion (3+ / 0-)

                      Recommended by:
                      gogol, chiniqua, MooseHB

                      has nothing to do with - and in fact is specifically excluded - with the job qualifications to be President of the United States of America.

                      Besides violating the spirit of the separation of church and state, it also appears to run against who ever it was (perhaps it was no one important) who said:

                      But when you pray, go into your room, close the door and pray to your Father, who is unseen. Then your Father, who sees what is done in secret, will reward you.  (Matthew 6.6)

                      •  But the Bible also says (0+ / 0-)

                        that one should not be afraid to talk about or "proclaim" their faith.

                        I would say he was "pandering" if he was doing what ole' G-dubb did--faith-based initiatives, etc.

                        All Obama has said is, 'yeah I'm a Christian. Its an important part of who I am...I won't be what I am not."

                        Veerrry different...then say...affecting your voice to that of a "black southern preacher" when you have only set foot in a black church on the campaign trail.

                        Me and Mrs. Jonzee

                        by Jonzee on Thu May 15, 2008 at 09:34:58 AM PDT

                        [ Parent ]

                      •  We'll just have to agree to disagree on this one (0+ / 0-)

                        Roadbed Guy, I think I understand where you're coming from, but I just don't agree with your objection, or your interpretation of the separation of church and state.

                        There are a lot of things that have been thrown into the mix during this election season that have nothing to do with the specific job qualifications to be President of the United States.

                        Lapel pins come to mind.

                        But no worries.  I think it's good to have a discussion surrounding these issues.

              •  Thank you Roadbed! (1+ / 0-)

                Recommended by:
                Roadbed Guy

                I'm with you on this one.

                best,

                mikolo

              •  do you remember (1+ / 0-)

                Recommended by:
                Roadbed Guy

                last Christmas when DK mocked Huckabee's Christmas ad?
                Look at Obama's fliers pandering to KY evangelicals!!

                http://race42008.com/...

              •  I think I understand where you're coming from (2+ / 0-)

                Recommended by:
                MooseHB, Firecrawler09

                in your criticism of the Christian faith--and I'm no Born Again--but I think you are doing no one, including yourself, any favors by painting every Christian with the broad brush that says Christians are dumb because in your mind they

                believe in an imaginary friend in the sky.

                Not all Christians believe as you seem to assume they believe. You insult thinking Christians and you show yourself to be small-minded when you say things like that. and, really--

                how intelligent is that?

                If you want to judge religion, you're probably wise to keep it to yourself, or be sure you're only addressing other small-minded individuals.

                HOPE: It's the new black. And it's WINNING!!

                by Samwoman on Thu May 15, 2008 at 09:19:13 AM PDT

                [ Parent ]

                •  So, you are saying that there are (0+ / 0-)

                  Christians who do not believe in Jesus Christ?  or I guess the alternative would be a Jesus Christ who did not rise from the dead and ascend into the sky where he still resides to this very day - which would seem to be a necessary prerequisite for him to not be considered imaginary.

                  While that seems to be self-contradictory, I suppose it is possible.  However, to indulge my small mind, could you kindly offer me an explanation as to why such people call themselves Christians?

                  Thanking you kindly . . .

                  •  What? I'm saying that there are Christians who do (0+ / 0-)

                    NOT believe, as you so smugly put it, that Jesus is an imaginary friend living in the sky.

                    And, frankly, I have no interest in educating someone as clearly close-, and SMALL-minded as you exhibit yourself to be.

                    I'd suggest you take a class in Comparative Religion, meditate, maybe take some good mushrooms, THEN come ask me about Christians and what the best of them might think about Jesus and how faith guides their lives.

                    In the meantime, you just come off as a snotty idiot.

                    HOPE: It's the new black. And it's WINNING!!

                    by Samwoman on Thu May 15, 2008 at 05:21:44 PM PDT

                    [ Parent ]

                    •  My question is, if somebody doesn't (0+ / 0-)

                      believe in Jesus, aka Christ (as you now verify to be the case), why they'd call themself a Christian?

                      There just seems to be a bit of a disconnect there . . . but whatever

                      •  Your original comment: (0+ / 0-)

                        but really, believing in an imaginary friend in the sky, how intelligent is that?).

                        is what I was responding to.

                        But to answer your question:

                        Some people call themselves Christians because they believe in cultivating a "Christ-centered Heart"--that does NOT necessarily mean that they believe in an imaginary friend in the sky. It CAN mean that they believe in the METAPHOR that we are ALL God and Human, and that by cultivating a Christ-Centered heart, that is how one attains a state of Nirvana, or "Heaven."

                        I do hope you will learn a little bit about [any topic] before setting about insulting people you do not know, who may very well be truly gifted beings. (I'm not suggesting that I am "Christian" OR a "truly gifted being"--but I was insulted by your original remark--I know several
                        Christians who are exceptionally bright and have beautiful Christian Hearts--AND I know a few Born-Again Christians and Christian idiots I have no respect for-- .)

                        I apologize for having been rude to you--

                        HOPE: It's the new black. And it's WINNING!!

                        by Samwoman on Fri May 16, 2008 at 05:49:58 AM PDT

                        [ Parent ]

                        •  By all means, don't apologize for being rude (1+ / 0-)

                          Recommended by:
                          Samwoman

                          to me (God knows I deserve it).

                          In any event, I think it's a wonderful thing that people have imaginations, have the ability to believe in abstract things like metaphors, etc.  Basically, it comes down to one of the yet-unsolved mysteries of neuroscience - what is the molecular basis of consciousness?

                          I guess where my tendency to mock kicks in is when the wonderful ability to metaphorize takes over rationale thought and gives great and unwarranted - and unquestionable - motivating factors.  For example, while somebody might have a 'lets-feed-the-poor-Jesus' the next person (e.g., GWB) has a 'Rambo-lets-go-kill-the-sand-niggers-Jesus' and both are equally sacred and unquestionable.  And I would argue both are equally imaginary because each of these person's Jesus's are are simply a reflection of that person, not a higher power.  I think society would be much better if all this nonsense - at least in public fora such as presidental elections - could be left behind.  

                          •  Humans have always had the inspiration to imagine (1+ / 0-)

                            Recommended by:
                            Roadbed Guy

                            Great Powers--some exalt the Logical and Rational mind, others of us have created much more elaborate stories of Unbounded Power.

                            Ideally, each of us uses that imagination to impel Higher behavior in our world.

                            Unfortunately, it's when we disrespect others for thinking differently, and hold-fast to our OWN belief as the ONLY TRUE BELIEF that we get into problems. Those problems can take the form of selfishness and rudeness to others whom believe differently, and to killing and stealing from others who believe differently.

                            However, when it inspires us and guides us to behave "in service" to our fellow man, and with kindness more often that rudeness, I don't believe that it should be referred to as nonsense, nor should it be "left behind" simply because some people are uncomfortable with it.

                            I will grant you that how one chooses to practice their spiritual faith is a very personal matter, but public figures are subject to the public's nosiness, rightly or wrongly.

                            HOPE: It's the new black. And it's WINNING!!

                            by Samwoman on Fri May 16, 2008 at 11:51:52 AM PDT

                            [ Parent ]

            •  No (7+ / 0-)

              I guess I'm going to have to be one of the few who disagrees with the premise of this diary. And I can tell you first hand that every senior member of the Obama campaign will verify this.

              Obama had nothing- nothing- to do with the timing of Edwards' endorsement. Nothing. And for everyone to bow down in praise of the genius of his timing in rolling out Edwards is nothing short of silly.

              I'm a fully on board Obama supporter and have been since I had the chance to meet him and hear him speak at a house party in 2003. But even I can't allow this diary to stand.

              The idea that somehow Obama's timing with the Edwards endorsement was perfect is 100% silliness.  Edwards' timing was based on one thing and one thing only- John Edwards being as absolutely safe as possible.  This wasn't brilliance on Obama's part, this was safety first on Edwards' part.

              Barack Obama and every single adivsor on his campaign wanted this public endorsement long, long ago and would have leapt to take it.

              There were plenty, plenty of other times where Obama was within a bairsbreadth of ending this thing for good- just prior to Texas, Indiana, Super Tuesday where an Edwards endorsement and some hard campaigning could have helped end this thing long ago, would have spared the party these bitter divisions, and would have put Obama in a far greater position of strength.

              But that didn't happen.  Instead, Edwards waited, and waited, and waited... He was perfectly content to allow folks like Terry McAuliffe to repeatedly leak hints that Edwards was about to endorse Hillary despite the fact that this was total fiction.  He waited at times when Obama needed him most in Texas, Indiana, California, Pennsylvania, Ohio. He waited and waited and waited.

              And to insinuate that Obama wouldn't have MUCH preferred Edwards support back at any of those junctures is just purely naive.

              I'm sorry, but this diary is just unfounded.  Edwards' timing had nothing to do with Obama.  Nothing.  Other than maybe the latitude of a couple days. This was all Edwards.  And it was all Edwards playing it as safe as absolutely possible.  I'm a full-on Obama supporter, but this diary is giving credit where credit isn't due.

              •  That's not what Chuck Todd (5+ / 0-)

                Recommended by:
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                reported this morning. More of the opposite and how this demonstrates that Obama is now in complete control of the party.

                You usually get what you paid for.

                by IowaMike on Thu May 15, 2008 at 05:56:04 AM PDT

                [ Parent ]

              •  sure, but given that they had to (7+ / 0-)

                work with that delay, there is absolutely no doubt that the particular moment that was eventually chosen for edwards's endorsement, which he's been telegraphing for a week, was carefully designed to annul the effect of the WV loss.

                sounds pretty smart to me.

                if gore endorses after kentucky, will you say that it has nothing to do with kentucky simply because he could've endorsed earlier?

                mi 'di thag chod ma byed na, nga tsho la las yod ma red

                by jedley on Thu May 15, 2008 at 05:59:11 AM PDT

                [ Parent ]

              •  Well (11+ / 0-)

                we don't actually know either way, do we?

                My assumption is that many of the supers currently endorsing Obama in daily drips have been in contact with the campaign, and even if Obama doesn't completely control the timing of their endorsements, he's able to inflect it.  Edwards was a big enough fish that he could name his own timing, but a key part of endorsements for most folks is the giving and receiving of favors.  Jimmy Carter is probably one of the few supers who is totally immune to this sort of thing.  For Al Gore, his "favor" might be an assurance that environmental concerns will be high priorities.  

                Anyway, if Edwards told Obama that he intended to endorse him, he's offering a favor, and he wants to make it as big a favor as possible.  He makes it so by allowing Obama to suggest his preferred timing for the endorsement.  If it suits Edwards, then fine.  Obama says that endorsement would be more powerful after WV than before, which makes sense to Edwards: Clinton's going to lap Obama in WV, and Edwards doesn't want his reputation as the candidate of the "other America" tarnished.  So instead, he gets to join Obama in Michigan, the heartland of American unions, and change the week's political narrative.

              •  Yo, Nocore! C'mere (4+ / 0-)

                Recommended by:
                JVolvo, jedley, evdebs, sherijr

                Quick, gimme the winning lotery numbers for tommorrow and don't tell anyone else, huh? Cuz yer OBVIOUSLY a gifted psychic, right?  Knowing what's in John Edwards mind, and all.

                You and you,alone, know that.  Damn, yer good.  Let's have those numbers, dude.

                You can't always tell the truth because you don't always know the truth - but you can ALWAYS be honest.

                by mattman on Thu May 15, 2008 at 06:31:43 AM PDT

                [ Parent ]

                •  ... (0+ / 0-)

                  Matt,

                  It is the diary that claims to be psychic.  I only mirrored it.

                •  P.S. (0+ / 0-)

                  John Edwards says that I'm correct, and that you, Matt, are wrong.  He also says that the rest of you who attempted to condescend were wrong as well.

                  Unless you are prepared to call John Edwards a bald-faced liar, I will await a group apology.

                  "That's not true," he said. "I know it's not true because I am the one who made the decision about when to do this. I believe this was the right time to do it. I made a decision that the public should know at this point my view."

                  Something like,"Sorry, Nocore, you were right," will suffice.

              •  Inside info? (6+ / 0-)

                What's your basis for the following three points?

                And I can tell you first hand that every senior member of the Obama campaign will verify this.

                Edwards' timing was based on one thing and one thing only- John Edwards being as absolutely safe as possible.  This wasn't brilliance on Obama's part, this was safety first on Edwards' part.

                Barack Obama and every single adivsor on his campaign wanted this public endorsement long, long ago and would have leapt to take it.

                The first and third points suggest you have some position with or intimate connection to Obama's HQ.  The second statement sounds like conjecture based on observation.  So I'm curious:  What's your source for this information?

                •  ... (0+ / 0-)

                  Focus.  The diary is written as if it is ironclad inside information.

                  I wrote an equal and opposite response to highlight its absurdity.  Because it is... absurd.  Pay attention.

                  •  listen to this guy! (1+ / 0-)

                    Recommended by:
                    mattman

                    sheesh

                    mi 'di thag chod ma byed na, nga tsho la las yod ma red

                    by jedley on Thu May 15, 2008 at 06:50:26 AM PDT

                    [ Parent ]

                  •  You have a gift (1+ / 0-)

                    Recommended by:
                    Firecrawler09

                    ... for condescension.  

                    I think you're backpedaling.  Otherwise, you'd admit your own fault in presenting snark as truth without any clarifying information.

                    Either that, or you thought you could present specious information as truth and no one would call you on it.

                    Either way, your unpleasantness is unjustified.

                    •  When We Pass Pleasantness Laws, I'm Off to Canada (0+ / 0-)

                      In order to buy the argument of the diary, you would have to believe each of the following:

                      1. Obama wasn’t really giving it his all to win Texas.  He was only going at partial effort because he was content to toy with his opponent a little longer.  He could have taken or given the win.  No big deal either way.  He wouldn’t have wanted the help.
                      1. Obama wasn’t really giving it his all to win Ohio.  He was only going at partial effort because he was content to toy with his opponent a little longer.  He could have taken or given the win.  No big deal either way.  He wouldn’t have wanted the help.
                      1. Obama wasn’t really giving it his all to win Indiana.  He was only going at partial effort because he was content to toy with his opponent a little longer.  He could have taken or given the win.  No big deal either way.  He wouldn’t have wanted the help.
                      1. Obama wasn’t really giving it his all to win on Super Tuesday.  He was only going at partial effort because he was content to toy with his opponent a little longer.  He could have taken or given the win.  No big deal either way.  He wouldn’t have wanted the help.
                      1. Obama wasn’t really giving it his all to win Pennsylvania.  He was only going at partial effort because he was content to toy with his opponent a little longer.  He could have taken or given the win.  No big deal either way.  He wouldn’t have wanted the help.
                      1. Obama wasn’t really giving it his all during the last Reverand Wright flare-up.  He was only going at partial effort because he was content to toy with his opponent a little longer.  He could have taken or given the media firestorm.  Who cares that he dropped 10 points in two weeks?  No big deal.  He wouldn’t have wanted the help.
                      1. That all along John Edwards has been lying to Hillary Clinton.  His meeting with her in North Carolina was just a giant ruse designed to mess with her.  And all of his conversations with her since have just been lies as well to string her along and fool her into thinking she might win his endorsement.  Because that’s just how John Edwards is; he’s a petty chronic liar.
                      1. Barack Obama and David Axelrod were in on the lies with Edwards all along as part of a secret conspiracy.  Their plan was to hold off springing the endorsement because all along they were the only three people in America who knew exactly how this primary was going to break and never had a doubt about his victory.  So why give 100%?  It was all some grand clairvoyent conspiracy.  Because that’s just how Obama is; he’s a petty chronic liar as well.

                      If you actually believe each of these eight things, then okay; the diary stands.  If you don’t believe all eight statements, then we are giving my candidate waaaaaaaaay too much credit here.  You might be willing to call John Edwards and Barack Obama conspiratorial liars who've been toying around like the Harlem Globetrotters, but I’m not.  Because that’s what this diary unwittingly and necessarily implies.

              •  Yeah, (1+ / 0-)

                Recommended by:
                Roadbed Guy

                I have to say, this is the kind of diary that Clinton supporters make fun of Daily Kos for: "Obama is AWESOME and smarter than ALL OF US!!!!! Trust in him 4ever!" All on the basis of a silly and unsupported assumption (that Obama planned the timing of the Edwards endorsement). Now, I don't particularly mind being made fun of in general, but since we need to convince these Clinton supporters that we support Obama for rational reasons and not hysterical ones, it would be cool if we wouldn't make ourselves such an easy target of ridicule by recommending diaries like this one.

                (By the way, one can play this game with any candidate—point out some monumental event that happened to have good timing and declare it to be an example of the candidate's enduring brilliance.)

                •  I think it's a lot more than one assumption (0+ / 0-)

                  Most of us here at DKos are pretty smart people; after all, it's a natural fit.  I will gladly include myself in there.  Not bragging, but I qualify for Mensa (haven't sent in the paperwork yet; smart & lazy is a terrible way to go through life).  Put those facts together, there's certainly going to be a fair amount of political prognostication on the site.  Maybe a little one-upsmanship, just as a distraction from the drudgery of the primary season that won't end.

                  What I have learned, on doing this since last fall (being an Iowa Precinct captain really jumpstarts the process), is that every time I think I have it figured out, the Obama campaign does the one thing that I didn't think of, that looks one more move ahead than I did, one more hand ahead in the cards.  Chess and poker are the best analogies, and both for the same reason.  Those two contests involve planning ahead more than any other competitive endeavor.  It's also good to recall that Obama is an experienced poker player (could you imagine the leader of the free world making the final table at the World Series of Poker?).

                  In either chess or poker, it's about thinking of your next move, anticipating the opponent's counter, and then planning anew based on the anticipated reaction, in a recursive loop that can quickly begin to boggle even the most bright player, if there is a lack of focus.  (This is also true in the game of "which goblet holds the poisoned wine?" but we know Wesley beats Vizzini by having built up a resistance to an irresistable poison, iocaine; sounds like Kirk in the Kobayashi Maru--but I'm losing focus.)  But the Obama campaign has several good examples of keeping that focus.

                  First, the leaked delegate spreadsheet.  It has been remarkably accurate, and missing as much from Operation Chaos effect as anything.

                  Know what, let's stop there, not hijack an already full thread, and start a new diary with more examples.  I'll build it off this comment.

                  •  I agree that Obama is very smart, (0+ / 0-)

                    and that he'll make a great President for that reason (among many others), and you really didn't have to tell me about how high your IQ is to prove it to me. (I'll forgive you for it since your taste in movies is, to say the least, top-notch. ;-)  )

                    This diary struck me as a little over the top, though. And no, this diary is not a lot more than one assumption. The whole diary is about the timing of the Edwards endorsement. There is plenty of solid evidence that Obama is, in fact, brilliant, but this is not an example of that.

                    For me, this diary can be best summed up by the blockquote in the middle marked "KEY INSIGHT", complete with its amusing revision:

                    KEY INSIGHT: No one here thought of this
                    (edit: it turns out some of you did)

              •  Nocore, do you have hard evidence of this? (0+ / 0-)

                There were plenty, plenty of other times where Obama was within a bairsbreadth of ending this thing for good- just prior to Texas, Indiana, Super Tuesday where an Edwards endorsement and some hard campaigning could have helped end this thing long ago...

                or this?

                Edwards waited, and waited, and waited... He was perfectly content to allow folks like Terry McAuliffe to repeatedly leak hints that Edwards was about to endorse Hillary  

                Your saying that Edwards contrived this waiting thing out of safety concerns. Can you point me to an article, or a web site, or a video clip that will colaborate what you are claiming? Please link to your sources, or please list them. If there are no facts to back this, then it is just your opinion.

                This union may never be perfect, but generation after generation has shown that it can always be perfected.

                by Batbird on Thu May 15, 2008 at 07:58:24 AM PDT

                [ Parent ]

              •  I have to disagree a bit, based on my 'analysis' (0+ / 0-)

                of BHO's campaign, and the very careful way they have manuevered their candidate into the nomination against the most formidable political machine around.

                The Obama campaign has been one step ahead of everybody else on every level; Their strategy of campaigning hard in so-called 'red states' which Clinton and her Dem Machine ignored is the most obvious.*

                Every step of the way since before Iowa, it seems as though the Obama campaign has expertly played not only the media coverage and narrative, but also the way they have slowly taken HRC down.

                It was necessary to do it this way for the simple reason that HRC's supporters would've screamed bloody murder if Obama had "wrapped it all up" earlier; The Clintonoids would've accused BHO of "manipulation behind the scenes" and "stealing" the nomination. This accusation would've stuck, too.

                It was absolutely necessary from the Obama campaign's perspective that HRC lose fair and square, and that every Democrat should get a chance to vote in the primaies. The Obama campaign wanted a situation in which Clinton lost without any doubts whatsoever. She would be given every oppurtunity to "come back"; assuming her comeback failed, and it became certain that BHO would win, only then could the supers start to shift to him en masse. Any earlier and HRC's supporters would've fraked out bigtime.

                If the pro-Obama supers and bigwigs like Edwards had endorsed Obama sooner, or if Obama had called for her to drop out earlier, or if Clinton herself dropped out, many of her supporters would've become so bitterly angry they would never, ever support Obama in November. Clinton had to lose as slowly and as gently as possible and she had to lose it herself. The supers could not "decide" it for Obama prematurely, just like they could not overturn the will of the voters and decide on HRC.

                Thus the Obama campaign's masterful prudence and careful handling of HRC's defeat is one for the Poli-Sci books.

                The other well-played issue was Jeremiah Wright; The Obama campaign knew this was gonna come out sooner or later, and they are very lucky or they were very smart to 'arrange the release' of the Wright Tapes to the media during a long spell between primaries when the vast majority of Americans were not paying much attention.
                The reason why Wright didn't cause too much damage in the polls in IN and PA was because Wright was not on the network news all the time like he was on the cable news channels; Few people actually watch the pundits except Kossacks and political junkies - about 3% of the US population. Most folks didn't even know about Wright in any great detail, and to them it seemed like a silly story, a typical media-frenzy over nothing.
                Now Americans are innoculated against the Wright bullshit, and the issue is dead. The timing of the Wright 'nontroversy' was very favorable to Obama. I think 'bitter' was probably more harmful to him than Wright.

                *BTW, Obama does NOT have a "white, blue collar" problem; he has (had) a problem with Appalachian whites: PA, OH and IN (and KY) all have large areas which are part of the Appalachian mountains; those are the counties he got beat badly. Working class whites everywhere else (like in the midwest) did just fine for Obama. The main reason HRC did well in those areas was because she had those places targeted a long time ago as the 'all-important' swing states which her campaign thought they needed to win the general. Obama's path to the WH doesnt necessarily need those Appalachian whites. He has numerous other possible ways to beat McCain.

            •  Only in comparison to Bush (1+ / 0-)

              Recommended by:
              sherijr

              He's just a great President, like many others before him were. JFK, Clinton, et al. all knew how to get advice from different sources, analyze it thoughtfully and make the right decisions, without getting carried away with polls and pundits.

      •  Actually, Oregon the same night (10+ / 0-)

        will trump KY. The differences in exit polling between the opinions of whites of the two states will expose Appalachia for what it is and hopefully embarrass it enough for them to do some soul searching before this fall.

        You usually get what you paid for.

        by IowaMike on Thu May 15, 2008 at 05:53:31 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  It's going to be closer it KY (0+ / 0-)

          I think it's going to be closer in KY than it was in WV.  He has a stronhold in both Louisville and Lexington.  His rally has over 10,000 people in attendance.  HRC has less than 5,000.  He's also has the support of Yarmouth and Chandler.

          I don't think it is going to be a blowup like people have been reporting.  In my area, (just outside of Lexington)  There is two Obama signs for every 1 Clinton sign.  And this is smack dab in the middle of hard working "White" workers.

          When I was canvassing I heard from alot of people who will be voting for Barack.  A few were for Hillary. Although I did come across alot of Rep.  Her stronghold is going to be the western part of the state.

      •  I think you are ALSO onto something here... (2+ / 0-)

        What you said makes sense.  There's one DPL you didn't mention however - Al Gore.  Obama is going to be in Florida on the 21st, is he not?  What better time than this for Gore to step onto the stage to endorse Barack and further unify the party.  Think of the symbolism in this.

      •  plus, he was in MO and MI yesterday - looking (0+ / 0-)

        ahead to 1) general v McSame and 2) the healing and unification of party (MI hard feelings).

        Yep, JStewart had it right 3ish weeks ago.  I too want a President who is embarrassingly superior to me!

        Woo Hoo!!

        Bottled hot water for dehydrated babies? WTF?!

        by JVolvo on Thu May 15, 2008 at 07:19:32 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

    •  oh, i think we should always (13+ / 0-)

      keep up the healthy skepticism of our elected leaders (notice I did use "elected" as an adjective to describe "leaders").  

      And we shold still pester him with constant emails and phone calls at the White House.  After all, that's the feedback mechanism, and that's what he has to count on to be aware of what the voters want government to do.  

      If we don't, you know who will....

    •  You're painting with a broad brush (5+ / 0-)

      I think those of us who saw a 'silver lining in every grey cloud' just thought that sentiment was too trite, and 'stay the course' too grotesque to adopt. You probably aren't the first to write a journal about how Obama and his campaign are capable of dealing with whatever comes their way. I hope you realize that the difference of opinion along the way may be more useful than nodding in unison. The debate here and elsewhere strengthens the campaign's ability to plan and consider the myriad possibilities each choice opens. We may not be the brain-trust he turns to first, but his thoughtful contributions in the past suggest he and those around him are aware of the value of this forum. For volunteers like myself, it's one part think tank, two parts psychotherapy.

      Within the cacophonous Agora, salient voices may have been heard by Obama or Edwards. Not everybody cared when Obama got his Edwards endorsement since there seemed to be consensus from the JE camp, at least those who publicly endorsed. The stickiest issue is what happens with the Clinton die-hards going forward. A number of people at daliy Kos actually did suggest that some party leaders withheld their endorsements so that they could help the party reunify and coalesce around the nominee when the timing was more critical.

      Pulling away from the web and going door-to-door reassured me that more primaries aren't a terrible thing, so long as you see them as a way to strengthen the grass-roots organizing that made this candidacy viable from the start. Here's my first major newspaper quote from the vote-for-change event in Boston last weekend. It's the little bit at the end of the article, not much, but it more or less gets to the up-side of not having supers and party leaders throw the nomination process like they did for Mondale in '84. Missing from the quote was a lot of stuff I said about Democrats, independents and others finding common ground with his campaign on issues of substance, regardless of whether Obama was their first choice all along. Now that the nomination process is virtually over, we need those fence-sitters to emphasize the issues that bring us together.

    •  I give it one week til an (2+ / 0-)

      Recommended by:
      mattman, Amber6541

      Obama Should diary.  If anything we are an observant and vocal demographic.

      ;-)

      I am 100% positive he is going to make a lot of decisions I am not going to agree with.  I believe he has superior judgement and actually knows a hell of a lot more than most of us do about actually getting work done in DC...and being realitist about what can actually be accomplished.

      Elitist.  Thank (insert preferred diety if any)!

      ~father...Father, the sleeper has awakened! ~Dune

      by CWalter on Thu May 15, 2008 at 05:53:33 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Please... (3+ / 0-)

      Recommended by:
      meg, Heart of the Rockies, Amber6541

      ...stay engaged and involved and no hero worship. It's really ok to expect things from our officials...even the President. Thank God we'll be getting a smart politician, and no doubt, a smart and good official. But that doesn't mean we can rest on our laurels. This one needs to be watched just like the rest. It's our government. Just don't forget in our blush and rush of finally seeing a smart man in action. (OMG...after Bush, where's the bar anyway?) He's still just a man, and he'll still work for us.

      I, for one, will be saying "Obama should..." lots. Sometimes I'll be right. Sometimes I'll change my mind. But I won't stop watching and criticizing points where I disagree.

      (¯`*._(¯`*._(-IMPEACH-)_.*´¯)_.*´¯) It's not too late!

      by nehark on Thu May 15, 2008 at 06:34:11 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Always wise to question (2+ / 0-)

      Recommended by:
      meg, Amber6541

      That's what keeps them on the right track.

    •  Koolaid, anyone? (1+ / 0-)

      Recommended by:
      Heart of the Rockies

      I respect the brilliance of the man, but what you said there says to me "no matter what he does, I will support him".

      And that's one chug of Koolaid too many, for me.

      "we must make the rescue of the environment the central organizing principle for civilization" - Al Gore

      by racerx on Thu May 15, 2008 at 06:46:26 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  He is a smart guy (2+ / 0-)

      Recommended by:
      jedley, ETF

      But I wouldn't be so quick to flush, actually.  I could've been misunderstanding him all these months, but I'm pretty sure a fundamental premise of his campaign and platform is that the electorate should be engaged which would include offering their thoughts, perspectives, ideas, disagreements etc.

      I think it's fine to offer opinions on what you (or I) think he should be doing.  I just think it'll be more productive to do so with the realization that our perspective is only one and that he may well have a better plan.  

      But, you know, two heads are better than one.  I'm pretty sure thinks so, too.  And by "two heads" of course, I mean millions of heads.  Engaged, paying attention and involved heads.

    •  Not so hasty to the "Cancel" button (1+ / 0-)

      Recommended by:
      jedley

      We all know that the politicians now watch the blogs. Our opinions may occasionally stink or be just wrong, but at least on Kos most of them are well reasoned and backed up by whatever evidence is available (unlike some others I have named, including one who shall be nameless who after prodding finally said the Social Security funding problem was just a Repub scare tactic, a fiction,....)

      Sometimes the reasoning helps a reader get perspective on sides of an issue which he or she might not have thought of. Or alerts one to a hole in their reasoning which they didn't see. We don't type it, they may not see it. They may not see it anyway, but we will have done our bit.  The worst thing is for people to think they are too dumb to come up with the right answer, and it remains unspoken and doing no one any good. For that, sites and diarists and commenters remain very useful.

      But the Diarist is right. What we need as pols are people who can consider what the various sides say and come up with the best solution to the problem. Not just the political one. Or the one we like.

    •  Obama should (2+ / 0-)

      Recommended by:
      meg, jedley

      Don't flush those words. I'm in awe of the Obama campaign, it's the best I've seen in my lifetime and one the reasons I began considering to support him.

      But, as our elected President it is our duty to hold him accountable, to nudge and suggest and demand those things we need.

      We need Universal Healthcare - I'm willing to give him rope long enough to move us there, but will complain with my loudest voice if he drags his feet.

      We need out of this insane war - I have no doubt that is what he wants, but remember, eyes on the prize, Barack.

      I support him without reservation, but hand the keys to the country over with conditions. That is Democracy.

      Edwards Democrat voting for Obama would like to remind you, "Concentration Moon, over the camp in the valley" Frank Zappa knew.

      by high uintas on Thu May 15, 2008 at 08:21:53 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  total agreement (1+ / 0-)

        Recommended by:
        high uintas

        by flushing 'Obama should...' i'm not referring to the eventual dialogue that he will surely open with the american people as president
        i'm talking about the day-to-day strategic subtleties of the campaign trail, about which he has proven himself to be far, far wiser than even the collective intelligence of kossacks
        this is not blind reverence or starry-eyed adulation, but rather deduction: he's been several steps ahead of everyone, all the way
        he IS smarter than us. he knows how to win this, and he's proven it time and time again. simple as that.

        mi 'di thag chod ma byed na, nga tsho la las yod ma red

        by jedley on Thu May 15, 2008 at 08:41:39 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

    •  I am with you on that! (3+ / 0-)

      Recommended by:
      Pam from Calif, jedley, beijingbetty

      smart president

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