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It's worse than we acknowledge.
McCain begins the general election with a solid base of the south, including Florida-already out of reach for Obama, the border states of Missouri, AR, KY, TN, and W.V. McCain is up anywhere from 15 to 35pts! The plains and mountain states (not including Colorado) are his, plus Alaska gives McCain a 'base' of around 240EV's to start! Looks like he's going to win New Hamsphire as well.
The only states where Obama has a chance to take away from the Republicans this year are Colorado, Nevada, New Mexico, Iowa and a real long shot in Virginia (not going to happen).
Whereas, McCain is ahead in Ohio (state could go either way), is today ahead in Michigan and is virtually even in Pennsylvania. In order for McCain to win, all he must do is win ONE of the three rustbelt states, just ONE!
Had it been a Hillary/Obama ticket it would have been a landslide for us, but alas....NO.
by richmond199 on Thu May 08, 2008 at 05:22:37 PM PDT
[ Parent ]
McCain has been "running" effectively unopposed for weeks and weeks. Also, not very many states have had recent GE polling. I am interested to see how the situation changes as the Obama campaign retools for the GE race.
Do not discount Obama's HUGE lead in fund raising. This will allow Obama to contest some of the 5% to 10% states, forcing McCain to expend resources to defend his "solid base". [cough] Texas [/cough]
by hillgiant on Fri May 09, 2008 at 06:45:18 AM PDT
wide narrow
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