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View Diary: Presidential Approval Ratings and House Midterm Results (46 comments)

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  •  Interesting (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Bob Love

    The incumbent party has ALWAYS lost seats in its midterm elections, every single time, no matter how high the president's approval rating is, they lose at least some seats.

    Until recently.  Clinton in 1998 and Bush in 2002.  Interesting.

    •  Isn't 1998 (0+ / 0-)

      when electronic voting began?

      "... Just so long as I'm the dictator." - GWB, 12/18/00

      by Bob Love on Thu Apr 27, 2006 at 09:17:37 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Heh (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Bob Love

        It may just be that incumbents have become so rich today that they can beat back most challengers, and the districts so uncompetitive through computer-enhanced gerrymandering, and the country pretty much polarized (unlike in previous years, where a great number of conservative Dems held GOP-leaning seats and liberal Repubs held Dem-leaning seats).

        I don't think a 76-seat swing (like what happened in 1938) is even possible anymore.  There are just too many safe incumbents.

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