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View Diary: CT-Sen: Q-poll's eve (275 comments)

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  •  No (0+ / 0-)

    I'm on Vonage (which is automatically unlisted) and cell phone, so my numbers are not readily available.

    But then maybe this confirms my other possible guess - that campaigns do this intentionally, and that even if voters claim to be pissed off by these calls, it really still helps the campaign. Who knows.

    •  It's the 'three contact' theory (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      DavidNYC, majcmb1, ChesCo Dem

      Contact a voter three times and they will usually turn out to vote.

      The corollary to this is "If you contact a voter too often, they might complain, but they won't hold it against your candidate."

      Both are more wrong than they are right. This is part of the Democratic CW that kills us. Voters often do need multiple contacts, but they don't need pestering phone bank volunteers calling them every other day. Voters are likely to respond better to multiple contacts, but they need to be of a differing variety. A phone call, then a lit drop/mailer, then a person-to-person canvass, and then either a robocall or another phone contact to get their ass to the polls.

      Too many phone calls will not usually turn a voter against your candidate, but they are A) a gigantic waste of resources and B) they may depress turnout. The second point is something of a theory but we have some evidence academically and locally , though with a small sample size, that this may be true. Always or likely turnout people make their intentions known fairly early in the process. They may need a giddy-up call (or canvass) late in the game, but they're pretty reliable. The people getting overwhlemed are often the undecideds (some people are obviously with your candidate, but will fool the less saavy volunteers), the leaners, and the unknowns. These people may get overwhelmed and decise that it's too traumatic to vote.

      I think the biggest challenge to an efficient ground game is a lack of coordination, which can be hindered by campagin finance laws, and poor or suspect information technology. Other candidates, of course, have their own plans, which complicates things even further.

      How do we make it better? Not sure just yet BUT we ARE working on it. This won't help Ned Lamont, but we're working on a ground campaign

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