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View Diary: CT-Sen Q-Poll: Lamont Leads Lieberman 51 - 45 (201 comments)

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  •  actually (0+ / 0-)

    it is more likely that some of the undecided broke for Lieberman and that Lamont's support stayed more or less constant.

    Remember these polls only included 890 likely voters and hence there is a very large variance.

    Polls with such small numbers give very fuzzy snapshots.

    When liberals saw 9-11, we wondered how we could make the country safe. When conservatives saw 9-11, they saw an investment opportunity.

    by onanyes on Mon Aug 07, 2006 at 01:30:13 PM PDT

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    •  Surely you jest. (0+ / 0-)
      Lieberman's 4 point gain is the undecideds coming home [note, undecideds dropped by 1 point from the previous poll] ... while Lamont's 3 point loss is attributable to statistical noise?

      If you have a case for that being "more likely" than the plain reading (Lieberman gains at Lamont's expense), I'd probably find it amusing.

      But my impression is that you don't understand statistics, and that you're taking this poll result way too seriously.

      None Dare Call It Stupid!

      by RonK Seattle on Mon Aug 07, 2006 at 01:48:26 PM PDT

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      •  uh (0+ / 0-)

        There is noise in Lieberman's support as well; 3 + 1 = 4.  Lieberman's gain was just outside of the margin of error, Lamont's loss was right within.

        So, one can conclude that Lieberman picked up at least some support, though one cannot conclude that Lamont lost any.

        I am the one that doesn't understand statistics? :-)

        you're taking this poll result way too seriously.

        Wrong.  My POINT is that there is too much variance in the polling to take the difference in the polls too seriously.

        When liberals saw 9-11, we wondered how we could make the country safe. When conservatives saw 9-11, they saw an investment opportunity.

        by onanyes on Mon Aug 07, 2006 at 06:41:33 PM PDT

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