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View Diary: CA-Gov: Schwarzengger running away with it (273 comments)

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  •  1 point does not a trend make (0+ / 0-)

    And I don't deny that Arnold is doing much better now than he was early in the year.  The point is it does not appear that Arnold has been increasing his lead (1 point is not statistically significant) over the last couple months (really since the end of the Dem campaign).

    That Arnold was looking much worse 6 months to a year ago and is now performing better is hardly cause for alarm.  Political polling trends do not continue uninterrupted.  If they did, Bush would be at 0% right now.  The interesting thing to note in all but the PPI poll is the lack of a serious trend recently.

    You are right to say that we'll have to see another poll to see what the trend is for Angelides.  These polls do not provide sufficient evidence to argue that things are trending, in any significant way, towards Arnold.

    -4.75, -6.31 "Violent means will give violent freedom." - Gandhi

    by DemUnity on Tue Aug 29, 2006 at 12:07:25 PM PDT

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