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View Diary: FOLLOWING THE POLLS: The Wednesday Edition **KERRY-FREE** (48 comments)

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  •  IL-6 is the holy s*** poll, by far (2+ / 0-)
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    SoCalLiberal, Steve Singiser

    That's an outlier just like the IA-1 poll showing Braley 13 points behind Whalen.  I agree that Roskam/Duckworth comes down to the wire.

    While I'm listening to a stirring Keith Olbermann Special Comment, some thoughts on the other polls:

    That Q-Poll of CT-Sen is bogus.  I believe Rasmussen's polling is much more accurate.  Quinnipiac's been on the money in all the other races but that race is much closer than 12 points (more like 5-9 pts in favor of Con-for-Lie).

    Simmons actually looks like the strongest of the three "moderate" R incumbents in Connecticut.  Every poll out of there has been a dead heat.  Farrell definitely has serious momentum against Shays (after his Abu Ghraib/Ted Kennedy meltdown) and Chris Murphy is running a stunningly strong campaign against Nancy Johnson.

    Wulsin over Schmidt is a stunning poll, but Schmidt may have gaffed her way out of the seat.  Wulsin's proved to be a tough candidate on her own merits (for those who remember the Hackett/Schmidt race).

    I'm disappointed with MN-6 and WA-8.  Those seats should be leaning our way, but polling doesn't bear it out, other than the Majority Watch polls which look strange.

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