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View Diary: The best pollsters of 2006 (77 comments)

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  •  Majoirty Watch polls tend to be older (3+ / 0-)
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    Trapper John, XStryker, WA Dem

    Because of this they are less likely to be accurate. They may have accurately reflected the state of the electorate at the time. For example, right after Foley, Reynolds seemed to be in trouble but he came back over the courseof the month. M. W. poll had him down and I believe others did as well. However, over the last few weeks he pulled back ahead.

    Older polls do not take into effect, late ad buys, news, etc. that change the facts on the ground over the last few weeks.  

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