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View Diary: The Libertarian spoilers (259 comments)

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  •  Two sources on Libertarians (1+ / 0-)
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    DocGonzo

    can be found here (citing an L.A.'s story showing this tendency in the 2004 Presidential election) and here (from the Cato Institute, a "libertarian think tank" showing that those who self-identify as Libertarians favor Republicans over Democrats).

    "Those who can make you believe absurdities can make you commit atrocities" -- Voltaire

    by ohwilleke on Wed Jan 31, 2007 at 10:40:53 AM PST

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    •  Old Numbers (0+ / 0-)

      Those are old numbers. The Cato Institute you linked said

      For those on the trail of the elusive swing voter, it may be most notable that the libertarian vote shifted sharply in 2004. Libertarians preferred George W. Bush over Al Gore by 72 to 20 percent, but Bush's margin dropped in 2004 to 59-38 over John Kerry. Congressional voting showed a similar swing from 2002 to 2004.

      We're talking about a 2006 election. If the 2002-2004 trend continued, or just stayed the same split, then Kos' claim that the Libertarians decided the MO senator would be wrong.

      Let's not count the Libertarians before they hatch. And certainly let's not decide that Democrats shouldn't steal Libertarian voters, just because it's easier to let Libertarian candidates split the Republican vote. Because the stats I've seen so far don't support those strategic premises.

      "When the going gets weird, the weird turn pro." - HST

      by DocGonzo on Wed Jan 31, 2007 at 12:09:18 PM PST

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