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View Diary: Cheney's Middle East Trip and the Iraq Oil Law (Update) (187 comments)

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  •  What about the Sadrists? The Unions? (0+ / 0-)

    Michael Schwartz writes:

    It seems clear that what the oil law has the power to do is substantially escalate the already unmanageable conflict in Iraq. Active opposition by the Parliament alone, or by the unions alone, or by the Sunni insurgency alone, or by the Sadrists alone might be sufficient to defeat or disable the law. The possibility that such disparate groups might find unity around this issue, mobilizing both the government bureaucracy and overwhelming public opinion to their cause, holds a much greater threat: the possibility of creating a unified force that might push beyond the oil law to a more general opposition to the American occupation.

    Like so many American initiatives in Iraq, the oil law, even if passed, might never be worth more than the paper it will be printed on. The likelihood that any future Iraqi government which takes on a nationalist mantel will consider such an agreement in any way binding is nil. One day in perhaps the not so distant future, that "law," even if briefly the law of the land, is likely to find itself in the dustbin of history, along with Saddam's various oil deals. As a result, the Bush administration's "capture of new and existing oil and gas fields" is likely to end as a predictable fiasco.

    I understand that even former Prime Minister Iyad Alawi is against it.

    'Be the change you want to see in the world.' Mahatma Gandhi

    by maracatu on Wed May 09, 2007 at 09:24:13 AM PDT

    [ Parent ]

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