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View Diary: Chuck Todd, Political Prognosticator (150 comments)

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  •  Wow. Chuck is a real wizard, look at his claims: (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    BenGoshi

    So I think if Democrats get control of Congress, President Bush's approval rating will be over 50 percent by the Fourth of July next year. And I think that because -- first of all, he's going to get the immigration bill that he wants, because this is a bill, actually, that more Democrats support than Republicans. He's going to be signing a minimum wage bill that's going to be -- everybody's going to be happy with, that everybody's going to make themselves feel good about. He'll sign that. There's going to be some healthcare stuff that Democrats want to get through. He'll sign those things. You know, look, the Democrats have an -- they have to pass stuff, right? They have to legislate, and they're going to have to legislate in a way that they know Bush will sign things. And Bush is going to sit there, he's going to veto something every once in a while, and it's going to remind people of the power of the Presidency. I think it's going to make him --

    I think it's going to make him more relevant domestically and might rescue his legacy in these last two years a little bit.

    Our Lou Dobbs poll question tonight is: "Would you rather have terminal bone cancer or free ice cream for life?" Mail your reply to...

    by LeftHandedMan on Thu Jul 05, 2007 at 04:44:22 PM PDT

    [ Parent ]

    •  Due Respect, But All That Makes Him Guilty Of.... (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Hlinko

      Is underestimating:

      (A) How obstructionist the GOP in Congress was going to be.

      (B) How politically tone-deaf Bush proved to be.

      Most of us in Kos-land saw that coming, but 80% of the world didn't.

      "You share your young with the wolves of the nation...
      Theres nothing left til you pray for salvation"
      Black Rebel Motorcycle Club "American X"

      by Steve Singiser on Thu Jul 05, 2007 at 05:11:49 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  I agree, Chuck doesn't deserve grief for this (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Steve Singiser

        Frankly, the predictions were not the least bit unreasonable, given what we knew (or thought we knew) then.   Predicting the Pres being above 50% is a far cry from predicting "stability in Iraq within 6 months" or something like that.  

        That being said, I agree he should be asked about this now, particularly if he makes more predictions.  

        But I wouldn't lambaste someone because they missed a prediction, unless their assumptions were clearly absurd when they made them (again, see "Iraq victory predictions").

    •  Conventional wisdom (0+ / 0-)

      and in fairness, the Dems did their damndest to win with Bush on immigration -- or at least rack up several months of misdirection.

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