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View Diary: Chuck Todd, Political Prognosticator (150 comments)

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  •  Chuck Todd's response (5+ / 0-)

    Full disclosure: I worked with Kristian Denny Todd on Jim Webb's campaign. I'm not sure how that has any bearing on this post. I figured I'd let folks know that up front, and yeah, I happen to like her too. Here's the email I got from Chuck Todd when I asked about his prediction:

    thanks for the email. I'm not quite sure why I should be held responsible for Bush not taking advantage of the opportunity to look bipartisan and sign Dem-passed legislation which is one of the ways I based that prediction. It's what happened when Clinton lost Congress in '94 and when Reagan lost complete control of Congress in '86.  Of course, Media Matters didn't bother to ask for context. Again thanks for the email. Believe it or not, I'm actually wrong more than with this, but considering the way Media Matters is playing this up, apparently, I don't make many bad predictions. So for that, I guess I'm grateful for the extra attention.

    Have at it folks.

    Wesley Clark -- Securing America's Future

    by lhuynh on Thu Jul 05, 2007 at 05:15:43 PM PDT

    •  You can't blame him (0+ / 0-)

      for being wrong on this prediction.  I hardly would include Chuck Todd as a member of the VRWC.  And you have to give the man respect for responding to your e-mail.

      What's Obama done as Senator? Click here.

      by jkfp2004 on Thu Jul 05, 2007 at 05:31:47 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  actually, he's being held responsible (0+ / 0-)

      for predicting that bush would jump on "the opportunity to look bipartisan".

      looking at bush's behavior up to that point in time, todd really had little if any basis on which to claim that the uber-partisan commander-guy would change his spots.

      and a good prognosticator bases predictions on what's likeliest to occur — not on what they would like to occur.

      •  I see your point (0+ / 0-)

        but I also think Chuck was looking to the actions of past presidents faced with similar situations. That Bush would recognize the political realities and try to get things done. Quite frankly, that would have been a nice thing to "like to occur." Instead, Bush has become even more petulant and more isolated from the American public.

        Wesley Clark -- Securing America's Future

        by lhuynh on Thu Jul 05, 2007 at 05:52:07 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

    •  Thanks for that. (0+ / 0-)

      In fact, he's not being held responsible for Bush's failure to do the sensible thing, he's being held responsible for his failure to see something that was as predictable as the sun rising in the morning.  

      But I respect that he answered, and I think if he does get a chance to talk about that on NBC it would be an interesting conversation that the public should hear.

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