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View Diary: GOP chaos now extending to the House (OH-18, GA-8, GA-12, VA-11, CA-4, CT-4) (25 comments)

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  •  Actually, things look great in Ohio (6+ / 0-)
    You are so right that if the GOP wants to retake Oh-18 they are going to need a strong candidate. I hear that Zack Space is doing a good job of taking care of his constiutents and might not be that easy to pick off with the advantage of incumbency, no matter how much Open Left apparently hates him. Oh-15 is almost certainly ours; not only did Dem candidate Mary Jo Kilroy come within a thousand votes of taking it last time when Pryce was the powerful incumbent but now that Pryce is retiring, the Republicans are having a tough time recruiting anyone. Hi, Congresswoman Kilroy! In Oh-16 the populr John Boccieri is challenging the aging Ralph Regula who may or may not run and his son may or may not replace him. This distirct's ripe. And in Oh-14, my adopted distrct, Stevie "Family values for you but not for me" LaTourette is getting a REAL challenge this time from an experienced candidate, Judge Bill O'Neill, who ran for state Supreme Court twice. He stepped down from an appellate judgeship to run for congress; he's also still working as a pediatric nurse and he's a veteran and a former labour union organizer. He's got it all! This is not the sort of political novices Stevie faced last time. Maybe Stevie will have a lot of time to contemplate cheating on his new wife too after the elections. Or maybe his good buddy, Utah mine owner Bob Murray, can find him a job in the coal mines.

    Then we get down to a bunch of wildcard districts including Oh-2 where Dr. Vic Wulsin who came within about 2,000 votes of unseating Jean "Scrunchie" Schmidt has a primary challenge from former Republican Steve Black, and a couple of ultra-ultra-ultra right wingers are challenging Rubber Stamp Schmidt for just not being far enough to the right. This is a heavily Republican district but I hear it's getting less so, and both Black and Wulsin are smoking Schmidt in fundraising. Anything could happen here, especially if "dampness" delays the voting machine tally in Clermont County again or Schmidt identifies yet another county in her district that she thinks would make a great nuclear waste dump site and announces it a few weeks before the election again.

    There's also Oh-5, the seat of the late Paul Gillmore, another wildcard. Democrat Robin Weirauch who has lost twice is stepping up again as are some well-known Republicans. Gillmore held this seat for two decades and in 2004 easily beat Weirauch in her first run. But last year was a diffierent story. Weirauch's vote total was virtually the same despite it being an off year but Gillmore had bled 70,000 votes (dropping from more than 195,000 to around 126,000 while Weirauch stayed at around 95,000. He also raised five times as much money as she did. A new Republican might not have that fundraising edge.

    I don't know what's going on in Oh-1 but there are folks who think this district could be in play too. We dont't have a senate race next year -- we have to wait until 2010 to hand Voinie his hat -- so all eyes will be on the congresssional races.

    We're retiring Steve LaTourette (R-Family Values for You But Not for Me) and sending Judge Bill O'Neill to Congress from Ohio-14: http://www.oneill08.com/

    by anastasia p on Fri Sep 14, 2007 at 04:49:34 PM PDT

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