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View Diary: Friday Futurist Survey: Help Me Design The Future! (43 comments)

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  •  Lineatus Notes (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    brillig, lineatus

    Economic regime (from strongly protectionst to deeply integrated) - 6 - it's a more internationalized economy; cross-ownership of assets, and heavy depletion of same after Second Surge, raises awareness that we are in this as one Terran society
    Security regime (from global anarchy to world federation) - 4 - still states and corps and armed factions and spies, they just have better things to do
    Innovation regime (from reaction to radicalism) - 7 - innovation in political, business organization, social, ecoonomic, tech front
    Wealth regime(weakly concentrated to strongly concentrated) - 6  - vast global middle class, reduced birth rates, increased pc income, virtual commerce
    Civility regime (from medieval reversion to utopian renaissance) - 6 - slow-motion post-USSR
    Legitimacy regime (from complete repudiation to strong social contract) - 6 - sense of commonwealth restored
    Conflict regime (from strong conflict to strong peace orientation) - No one is going out of their way seeking a fight who cannot do without it; world leaders routinely freeze out offender states from ecological restoration aid.

    Health regime (from rapid deterioration to radical improvement) - 4 - CO2 levels spark asthma epidemic, HIV remains grave issue, under control, barely, in Asia but expected fatalities from HIV likely to run in the hundreds of millions by 2200.
    Social regime (from individualism to humanism) - 6 - strong individual communitarian ethic, volunteerism, social pressure, inculcation of civic duty
    Perceptual regime (from materialistic to idealistic) - 6 - A pairing of the awareness of how serious warming is, plus a sense of optimism that, united the world can be treated, perhaps one day cured.
    Information regime (from data dearth to data immersed) - 6 - Age of Crackberry, IPods and IPhones
    Water Resources (from greatly degraded to greatly improved) - 3 - Thirst and famine and disease serious issues, all largely triaged in the focus of world resources; climate mitigation first, water resources where possible second.

    Energy Resources (from greatly degraded to greatly improved) - 4 Emphasis is on conservation and letting the downslope of peak oil
    Global warming (from insignificantly warmer to drastic, adverse transformation) - 8 - A surge of five degrees in the early 2010s, another 3-degree surge in 2018-19. It gets everyone's attention, real fast.
    Pollution (from no restraint to strong remedy) - 6 - Immediate push on carbon sequestration, sidecar benefits are improvements in air and water quality, especially in coal-burning areas of East Asia (read: China)
    Species preservation (from extinct movement to global effort) - 6 - Renaissance Project to obtain DNA library, preserve watershed and marshland (and aid human water needs as well as species habitat), identify and guard endangered species where possible
    Pattern of Changes (from slow and gradual to sudden paradigm shift) - 7 - Halting change after the First Surge; convinced change in behavior after the Second.

    There is no Congress, there is only Zool.

    by cskendrick on Fri Sep 28, 2007 at 12:57:48 PM PDT

    [ Parent ]

    •  I'd add to Health regime: (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      cskendrick, brillig
      - Acceleration of emerging diseases due to climate change; countered somewhat by medical advances and less international travel (due to energy constraints, and greater use of technology to interact across borders vs. personal visit).  

      Conflict and climate change could cause lower disease resistance due to stress, hunger, etc., but might be offset by a decrease in obesity if food supplies are drastically affected by climate change.

      Just call their form of government Hypocracy.

      by lineatus on Fri Sep 28, 2007 at 01:11:41 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Also, just reflecting... (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      cskendrick, brillig

      No questions about population growth trends?  If things get as bad as it seems they could, it seems like growth could slow dramatically, from people choosing to forego having children because of their personal circumstances, others choosing to forego having children from recognition of population pressures, and higher death rates for a number of reasons.  It probably would not result in a population drop by that point, but if things got bad enough...

      Just call their form of government Hypocracy.

      by lineatus on Fri Sep 28, 2007 at 01:15:08 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

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