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View Diary: Congressional district analysis: Median income, rural vs. urban, and Democratic vs. Republican (59 comments)

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  •  haven't a clue how the analysis works... (1+ / 0-)
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    plf515

    or what the graphs are showing, but the rise in republican-ness as a function of the rise in median income resonates.

    However the definition of republican-ness may be oversimplified. There are two republican parties: the Christian, flag-waving, values based party and the business republicans, who care for nothing but money in their pockets.

    The democratic party has two similar parts: what remains of labor in the democratic party, and the progressive, well-read, blogging, party core. Historically, this is expressed in the 1980 election, when the intellecual wing of the democratic party rose to prominence and the Teamsters (and PATCO - bad move, huh?) wound up supporting Reagan.

    The Political Compass breaks out the political spectrum along 2 scales: x = rich v. poor and y = authoritarian v. libertarian. (I land somewhere around the Dali Lama. Wierd.) I haven't a clue how you'd express a fourfold party breakout statistically, or even how to identify where voters land on this graph.

    One other concern. Beware of the Cook PVI. I know that in the MA-5 (D+11) it's way off base. I'd rate it D+3 or D+4 and getting worse. The district has been gentrifying in the last 20 years, and lots of the the labor-democrats have gone over to the right.

    "Freedom is a choice you have to make everyday."

    by papicek on Sun Dec 02, 2007 at 12:37:02 PM PST

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