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View Diary: National Polls Don't Matter: Here's the Proof (36 comments)

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  •  The biggest Iowa bounce of all was 2004 (1+ / 0-)
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    Tempus Figits

    But we did elect Bush back then, so maybe everybody has woken up.

    I don't personally relate the notion of or being "smarter" to the notion of our voting for Hillary Clinton, but your mileage may vary.

    •  Smarter ... (0+ / 0-)

      in the sense that we won't follow Iowa and NH like a bunch of brainless, spineless sheep, yet again.

      We, as a country should know better, and should select our candidates on basis of information and merit, not on the basis of two states whose results mean less in reality than the "latest" Fox News poll...

      "As God is my witness, I thought wingnuts could fly."

      by Niniane on Thu Dec 06, 2007 at 05:50:03 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  IA/NH voters are better informed at this stage (2+ / 0-)

        That's sort of what my analysis is suggesting.  Certain candidates do better the more information voters have about them.  And right now, IA and NH voters have spent a lot of  time parsing through information about the candidates, but voters in Kentucky or Oregon, not so much.  It's not so much that we consciously follow Iowa and New Hampshire is that, the things that they're thinking now, that's the sort of things that the rest of us will be thinking about on February 5, whether we know it or not.

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