Skip to main content

View Diary: H5N1: Another Country (Or Two) Heard From (64 comments)

Comment Preferences

  •  who predicted that? (6+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Sharoney, splashy, tzt, mhw, jnhobbs, Terra Mystica

    show us the link.

    "Politics is the art of looking for trouble, finding it everywhere, diagnosing it incorrectly and applying the wrong remedies." - Groucho Marx

    by Greg Dworkin on Sun Dec 16, 2007 at 06:58:37 AM PST

    [ Parent ]

    •  here you go, first google i took (0+ / 0-)

      http://news.bbc.co.uk/...

      from link;

      Health officials warn that millions could die in a flu pandemic. It would not be the first time. The Spanish flu virus that swept the world in 1918-19 is considered one of the most deadly diseases in history.

      •  that's not a prediction (0+ / 0-)

        it's an if-then statement. There's no question that millions would die in a flu pandemic. No one predicted it would happen by now, that I know of.

        "Politics is the art of looking for trouble, finding it everywhere, diagnosing it incorrectly and applying the wrong remedies." - Groucho Marx

        by Greg Dworkin on Wed Dec 19, 2007 at 09:36:39 AM PST

        [ Parent ]

        •  the predictions of a flu pandemic (0+ / 0-)

          was taken in the context of bird flu, the bbc has a whole section of their website devoted to bird flu itself.  Watching the news (BBC, channel 4 and sky news)at the time of the first deaths in the far east, the impression was this flu WAS coming and people WILL die, in great numbers.  A few years later, it has yet to emerge.  

          •  ah, impressions ;-) (0+ / 0-)

            This is not like the Yellowstone super-volcano or a meteor hitting the earth. Pandemics happen on average 3 times a century, last in 1968. Predicting the next pandemic is like predicting the next cat 5 hurricane. We know there'll be one, but we don't know where or when.

            Virtually every national and international public health authority agrees that another pandemic is inevitable (as you'll hear WHO say, "it's not if but when").

            And the 'millions dying' is exactly right. Estimates by CDC for the US range up to 1.9 million for a 1918 style and less for a milder 1968 style, but wordlwide, we are still talking millions.

            So, the idea is to plan now, before one hits. To get an idea of the cross section who are developing plans, see:

            American Red Cross
            Lions Clubs
            World Bank
            American Academy of Pediatrics
            Infectious Disease Society of America

            just to name a few.

            "Politics is the art of looking for trouble, finding it everywhere, diagnosing it incorrectly and applying the wrong remedies." - Groucho Marx

            by Greg Dworkin on Wed Dec 19, 2007 at 04:29:13 PM PST

            [ Parent ]

            •  yes that is all very interesting, (0+ / 0-)

              but my point about the bbcs coverage when the original 'outbreak' of bird flu still stands, as it was not just basic reportage, it verged on blanket coverage(I quickly got very tired of it on the bbc 24hr news channel), and very hysterical in hindsight considering bird flu did not sweep across from asia killing millions as it progressed.

              •  CNN in this country overdid it, too (0+ / 0-)

                but I am not responsible for other people's coverage, business failings or second marriages.

                "Politics is the art of looking for trouble, finding it everywhere, diagnosing it incorrectly and applying the wrong remedies." - Groucho Marx

                by Greg Dworkin on Sat Dec 22, 2007 at 01:36:34 PM PST

                [ Parent ]

Subscribe or Donate to support Daily Kos.

Click here for the mobile view of the site