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View Diary: Could the 2008 Election be Like the 1932 Election? (Part 3) (321 comments)

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  •  Whereas your conclusion warms my heart... (0+ / 0-)

    ...I believe looking at the past and historical outcomes as a divining rod from which to apply to current events is glaringly faulty.

    Arguably, there are very high level, yet very stretched, similarities between the two time periods.  But the underlying premise -- all things are still equal between the two is incorrect.  For example, our society is more diverse than 1932 -- in fact, the tolerance for diversity has effected the body political in ways unimaginable in 1930's white America.  The same for the creation of wealth and its effects on behavior.  Not to mention technological advancements, immediate and easy access to information, global economies and rationalization of production, etc.  All of these factors, plus scores of others I havent mentioned which were not in existence in 1932, make the comparisons of the two body politics highly suspect.

    I mean -- in 1932, putting a man on the moon was pure science fiction.  Today, that was so 38 years ago -- and how many missions after that, eh?

    Again, its not the outcome (how I wish...), its the methodology and conclusions drawn I question.  Good work, though

    Whenever you find yourself on the side of the majority, it is time to pause and reflect -- Mark Twain.

    by dcrolg on Sun Dec 16, 2007 at 07:18:10 PM PST

    •  Um, You Might Want to Follow the Links (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Sacramento Dem

      If you think I'm only looking backward, and not looking at numerous current data points and offering informed speculation on the trajectory of trends we currently see, you probably missed many key points in my argument.  

      The revolution will not be televised, but we'll analyze it to death at The Next Hurrah.

      by Dana Houle on Sun Dec 16, 2007 at 07:20:33 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  I read them -- I disagree with the use (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:

        of apparent historical comparisons as a basis to determine and/or advocate a position of "trajectory of trends".

        Whenever you find yourself on the side of the majority, it is time to pause and reflect -- Mark Twain.

        by dcrolg on Mon Dec 17, 2007 at 06:18:43 AM PST

        [ Parent ]

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