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View Diary: Edwards Support Up 44% This Year. Why Isn't This News? (70 comments)

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  •  Disagree: Nationally C: 36, Obama: 25, Edwards 23 (15+ / 0-)

    In the national polls, Edwards has very nearly caught Obama now. Think about that... in the national polls, Edwards is right there with the guy that has been recently anointed as the favorite to win the nomination. It's not like the diarist is basing the 40% increase on Edwards going from 5% to 7%, which you could legitimately say is playing with stats. This 40+% increase has allowed him to actually catch Obama.

    •  National Polls (0+ / 0-)

      have a limited value: certainly I would not want to rely on the limited education average Americans nationawide have at this point to decide the candidate over voters who've probably had several chances to see/hear these folks speaking, even meet them.

      Benazir Bhutto was the real Hugo Chavez.

      by Nulwee on Sun Jan 06, 2008 at 07:07:20 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  correction met n/t (0+ / 0-)

        Benazir Bhutto was the real Hugo Chavez.

        by Nulwee on Sun Jan 06, 2008 at 07:07:46 PM PST

        [ Parent ]

      •  I agree, but that's irrelevant (5+ / 0-)

        I was responding to a comment in which someone said that the diarist was playing with statistics, because its the percentage vote that matters, not the percentage increase.

        But in this case the 40+ percent increase actually brings Edwards right up to Obama in the percentage vote. It's not playing with stats. This is a meaningful increase that has Edwards catching Obama in the national polls.

        Now whether national polls have value or not, that's another question. But the data given in this diary isn't just playing with statistics. That's a pretty striking increase for Edwards and it suggests that if he can somehow manage a breakthrough or two, the general U.S. public is receptive to his message and he might get some serious traction.

    •  National poll you mean. (0+ / 0-)

      One day of the Rasmussen daily tracker does not "the national polls" make.

      •  Yes, you're right. (0+ / 0-)

        Any single poll should be taken with a grain of salt in terms of where the candidates stand relative to one another. Looking at the same poll over a number of polling cycles can be informative in revealing trends, though, and this one definitely suggests a national uptrend for Edwards.

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