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View Diary: Clinton's Hold on Superdelegates May Depend on Wins in TX and OH (346 comments)

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  •  Carville (11+ / 0-)

    From The Situation Room transcript:

    JAMES CARVILLE, DEMOCRATIC STRATEGIST: The truth is that Senator Clinton has to win Texas, Ohio and Pennsylvania. If she wins those three, she's probably the nominee. If she loses one of those three, then Senator Obama is probably going to be the nominee. That's a fact.

    Seul l'incrédule a droit au miracle. - Elias Canetti Road2DC

    by srkp23 on Mon Feb 11, 2008 at 08:04:26 PM PST

    •  an Edwards nod, NYT support and Tavis Smiley (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      mightymouse, seabrook, allie123

      This whole Obama wave could retreat tomorrow. Edwards is going to be hard pressed to resist pressure from the Clintons,  NYT continues its assault through Krugman and front pagers that continue to keep Obama's drug use (or lack of) front and center and Clinton has agreed to appear at the National Black Caucus event, which presents a conundrum and  potentially negative media and backlash from the AA community if he doesn't take  off much needed on the ground campaigning time  to attend.
      The Clintons will not concede

    •  No (0+ / 0-)

      That's not a fact. That's Carville, who's supporting Clinton.

      A lot rides on who wins these states, true, but also on by how much, and how the remaining states fall. If it's something like 33 states for Obama to 17 for Clinton, that's a harder case to make.

      In the end, though, it's still about delegates, not big states or # of states.

      •  yeah (0+ / 0-)

        and he's refreshingly realistic here. I don't see Obama getting anywhere without one of the three big states left: TX, OH or PA. On the other hand, given Hillary's losses, she has to win at least 2 of the three decisively to remain in.

        The end-game may end up being about the super delegates. This is the first time I have seen anything suggesting that they may be wavering. If HRC does not drop out before the convention, they may be the deciding factor. A much better conclusion than a brokered convention, IMHO.

        Inconceivable! You keep using that word. I do not think it means what you think it means.

        by hopeful on Tue Feb 12, 2008 at 04:37:26 AM PST

        [ Parent ]

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