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View Diary: Clinton's Hold on Superdelegates May Depend on Wins in TX and OH (346 comments)

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  •  Large shifts nationally (0+ / 0-)

    simply reflect what is happening. We have never seen this - so something is happening at the level of individual supers, individual states and the entire Nation. And this will influence the remaining primaries.

                                         Clinton     Obama
    AP-Ipsos 2/7-10/08                46   41
    USA Today/Gallup2/8-9/08     44   47
    Gallup 2/6-8/08                     48   43
    Newsweek 2/6-7/08               41   42

    •  Gallup (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      mosolino, forestgreen

      The new Gallup poll has Obama up.  

      However, I would like to see more Texas state data.   I think it's going to be very difficult for Obama to take it.  I'm thinking it's going to be like California.  I hope I'm wrong though.

      •  I hope you're wrong. (0+ / 0-)

        Heck, I think HRC will take Ohio & Texas. I'm just hoping it will be close.

      •  Won't be like California (0+ / 0-)

        Obama was surging off his SC win just before CA. Trouble for him was that about a third of voters there had already voted by mail weeks ahead of the actual primary. Undoubtedly, had they not had that option the primary turnout would have been larger and the results much closer.

        Also, keep in mind that Obama has many more blowout wins that Hillary. Her only blowout really was NY and I discount that heavily just like I discount IL for Obama.

    •  How much do national polls mean (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:

      when a good chunk of the nation has already voted?

      Then again, I never really cared for the national polls in 2004 during the general election, since we don't decide elections by the popular vote.

      "Our country right or wrong. When right, to be kept right; when wrong, to be put right" - Carl Schurz

      by RBH on Mon Feb 11, 2008 at 08:39:28 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

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