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View Diary: General Election Projections, Beta Version (223 comments)

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  •  awesome job,one comment (6+ / 0-)

    I don't know about that Southern Baptist thing.  I know it has statistical meaning, but look at the exit polls from Georgia, which probably should be given as much weight as everything else combined.  I would be surprised if Georgia is not in play with Obama as the nominee.  There is no way that the first 2-3 matchup polls in Georgia by decent firms show on average that Clinton outperforms him (I say 2-3 polls because of course one poll might say anything).

    The same is not necessarily true of some of the other southern states of course.  And maybe Georgia doesn't have that many Southern Baptists, I don't know.  But I don't see Clinton outperforming Obama in SC or NC, either.  Now, you might say the dems don't have much chance of winning these states and you might be right, but I do think that these results do not line up with what exit polls, especially in GA, tell us (granted they are not the full story).

    "Use Jesus as a body shield while you rob the country blind" - Jud Caswell, The Men behind the Bushes

    by eparrot on Tue Feb 26, 2008 at 06:52:51 PM PST

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